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Nonparametric minimum-distance estimation of simulation model

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  • Mario Martinoli

Abstract

We propose a novel nonparametric minimum-distance estimator for the estimation of simulation models. Our approach leverages a nonparametric smoothing step to approximate the distance between real-world observations and data simulated from a model, allowing for the estimation of model parameters without relying on specific auxiliary models or moment selection. By employing sieve estimation techniques, we approximate the objective function using a series of basis functions, ensuring consistency and providing nonparametric rates of convergence. We investigate the asymptotic properties of our estimator and demonstrate its performance through Monte Carlo experiments and an empirical application to financial market data. Our method addresses the limitations of traditional simulation-based estimation techniques, particularly in cases where the stochastic equicontinuity condition is violated, and offers a robust framework for estimating parameters in heterogeneous agents models and other complex systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Mario Martinoli, 2025. "Nonparametric minimum-distance estimation of simulation model," LEM Papers Series 2025/06, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  • Handle: RePEc:ssa:lemwps:2025/06
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea & Sani, Amir, 2018. "Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 366-389.
    6. Lee, Lung-Fei, 1992. "On Efficiency of Methods of Simulated Moments and Maximum Simulated Likelihood Estimation of Discrete Response Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(4), pages 518-552, December.
    7. Jean-Jacques Forneron, 2019. "A Sieve-SMM Estimator for Dynamic Models," Papers 1902.01456, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
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