IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/sfu/sfudps/dp17-11.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Identifying Distributions in a Panel Model with Heteroskedasticity: An Application to Earnings Volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Irene Botosaru

    (Simon Fraser University)

Abstract

This paper considers a panel model with heteroskedasticity, where the parameter of interest is the probability density function of the heteroskedasticity. The nonparametric identification results are established sequentially via a deconvolution argument (in the first step) and solving a linear Fredholm integral equation of the first kind (in the second step). The identification results are constructive and give rise to nonparametric estimators. The model is relevant to the literature on earnings dynamics. Applied to data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), the method developed in this paper reveals a high degree of unobserved heterogeneity in earnings risk. In particular, the evolution over time of the quantiles of the conditional shock variance shows that it is those in the right tail of the distribution who experience the highest volatilities (particularly during recessions), with lower quantiles experiencing relatively constant volatilities during the business cycle. This type of heterogeneity may be relevant to the study of the cyclicality of income risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Irene Botosaru, 2017. "Identifying Distributions in a Panel Model with Heteroskedasticity: An Application to Earnings Volatility," Discussion Papers dp17-11, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
    • Handle: RePEc:sfu:sfudps:dp17-11
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sfu.ca/repec-econ/sfu/sfudps/dp17-11.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Botosaru, Irene & Sasaki, Yuya, 2018. "Nonparametric heteroskedasticity in persistent panel processes: An application to earnings dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 283-296.
    2. Hoderlein, Stefan & Klemelä, Jussi & Mammen, Enno, 2010. "Analyzing The Random Coefficient Model Nonparametrically," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(3), pages 804-837, June.
    3. Stéphane Bonhomme & Jean-Marc Robin, 2010. "Generalized Non-Parametric Deconvolution with an Application to Earnings Dynamics," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 77(2), pages 491-533.
    4. Susanne M. Schennach, 2004. "Estimation of Nonlinear Models with Measurement Error," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(1), pages 33-75, January.
    5. L. Hospido, 2012. "Modelling heterogeneity and dynamics in the volatility of individual wages," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 386-414, April.
    6. S. Darolles & Y. Fan & J. P. Florens & E. Renault, 2011. "Nonparametric Instrumental Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(5), pages 1541-1565, September.
    7. Flavio Cunha & James J. Heckman & Susanne M. Schennach, 2010. "Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(3), pages 883-931, May.
    8. Costas Meghir & Frank Windmeijer, 1999. "Moment Conditions for Dynamic Panel Data Models with Multiplicative Individual Effects in the Conditional Variance," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 55-56, pages 317-330.
    9. Schennach, Susanne M., 2004. "Nonparametric Regression In The Presence Of Measurement Error," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(6), pages 1046-1093, December.
    10. Hoderlein, Stefan & Nesheim, Lars & Simoni, Anna, 2017. "Semiparametric Estimation Of Random Coefficients In Structural Economic Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(6), pages 1265-1305, December.
    11. Carrasco, Marine & Florens, Jean-Pierre & Renault, Eric, 2007. "Linear Inverse Problems in Structural Econometrics Estimation Based on Spectral Decomposition and Regularization," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 77, Elsevier.
    12. Yingyao Hu & Geert Ridder, 2010. "On Deconvolution as a First Stage Nonparametric Estimator," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 365-396.
    13. Fatih Guvenen & Serdar Ozkan & Jae Song, 2014. "The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 122(3), pages 621-660.
    14. Shane T. Jensen & Stephen H. Shore, 2015. "Changes in the Distribution of Earnings Volatility," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 50(3), pages 811-836.
    15. repec:adr:anecst:y:1999:i:55-56:p:12 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Carrasco, Marine & Florens, Jean-Pierre, 2011. "A Spectral Method For Deconvolving A Density," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 546-581, June.
    17. Evdokimov, Kirill & White, Halbert, 2012. "Some Extensions Of A Lemma Of Kotlarski," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 925-932, August.
    18. Costas Meghir & Luigi Pistaferri, 2004. "Income Variance Dynamics and Heterogeneity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(1), pages 1-32, January.
    19. Greg Kaplan & Giovanni L. Violante, 2010. "How Much Consumption Insurance beyond Self-Insurance?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(4), pages 53-87, October.
    20. Li, Tong & Vuong, Quang, 1998. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Measurement Error Model Using Multiple Indicators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 139-165, May.
    21. Li, Tong, 2002. "Robust and consistent estimation of nonlinear errors-in-variables models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 1-26, September.
    22. Delaigle, Aurore & Hall, Peter, 2006. "On optimal kernel choice for deconvolution," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(15), pages 1594-1602, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andrii Babii & Jean-Pierre Florens, 2017. "Is completeness necessary? Estimation in nonidentified linear models," Papers 1709.03473, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Botosaru, Irene, 2023. "Time-varying unobserved heterogeneity in earnings shocks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1378-1393.
    2. Botosaru, Irene & Sasaki, Yuya, 2018. "Nonparametric heteroskedasticity in persistent panel processes: An application to earnings dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 283-296.
    3. Kengo Kato & Yuya Sasaki & Takuya Ura, 2021. "Robust inference in deconvolution," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(1), pages 109-142, January.
    4. Joel L. Horowitz, 2013. "Ill-posed inverse problems in economics," CeMMAP working papers 37/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    5. Susanne M. Schennach, 2012. "Measurement error in nonlinear models - a review," CeMMAP working papers 41/12, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    6. Daniel Wilhelm, 2015. "Identification and estimation of nonparametric panel data regressions with measurement error," CeMMAP working papers CWP34/15, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    7. Joel L. Horowitz, 2013. "Ill-posed inverse problems in economics," CeMMAP working papers CWP37/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    8. Ben-Moshe, Dan, 2018. "Identification Of Joint Distributions In Dependent Factor Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(1), pages 134-165, February.
    9. Xiaohong Chen & Yingyao Hu, 2006. "Identification and Inference of Nonlinear Models Using Two Samples with Arbitrary Measurement Errors," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1590, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    10. Schennach, Susanne M., 2019. "Convolution without independence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 308-318.
    11. Manuel Arellano & Stéphane Bonhomme, 2023. "Recovering Latent Variables by Matching," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 118(541), pages 693-706, January.
    12. Manuel Arellano & Richard Blundell & Stéphane Bonhomme, 2017. "Earnings and Consumption Dynamics: A Nonlinear Panel Data Framework," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 693-734, May.
    13. Karun Adusumilli & Taisuke Otsu, 2015. "Nonparametric instrumental regression with errors in variables," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2015/585, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    14. Hao Dong & Yuya Sasaki, 2022. "Estimation of average derivatives of latent regressors: with an application to inference on buffer-stock saving," Departmental Working Papers 2204, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics.
    15. Stéphane Bonhomme & Jean-Marc Robin, 2010. "Generalized Non-Parametric Deconvolution with an Application to Earnings Dynamics," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 77(2), pages 491-533.
    16. Kato, Kengo & Sasaki, Yuya, 2019. "Uniform confidence bands for nonparametric errors-in-variables regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(2), pages 516-555.
    17. Delaigle, Aurore & Fan, Jianqing & Carroll, Raymond J., 2009. "A Design-Adaptive Local Polynomial Estimator for the Errors-in-Variables Problem," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 348-359.
    18. Babii, Andrii, 2020. "Honest Confidence Sets In Nonparametric Iv Regression And Other Ill-Posed Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(4), pages 658-706, August.
    19. Dong, Hao & Otsu, Taisuke & Taylor, Luke, 2022. "Estimation of varying coefficient models with measurement error," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 388-415.
    20. Schennach, Susanne & White, Halbert & Chalak, Karim, 2012. "Local indirect least squares and average marginal effects in nonseparable structural systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 166(2), pages 282-302.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Earnings dynamics; panel data; deconvolution; integral equation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sfu:sfudps:dp17-11. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Working Paper Coordinator (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/desfuca.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.