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The Global Financial Crisis and Transmission Channels: An International Network Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Changmo Ahn
  • Gyemin Lee
  • Dongkoo Chang

Abstract

This paper analyzes the effects of the trade and financial networks on the propagation of the global financial crisis of 2008. We adopt a new methodology that incorporates a dynamic network approach into econometric analysis. Some interesting results are obtained. Firstly, both the trade and financial networks provide clear pictures of international economic linkages. Secondly, both the trade and financial networks do not have any significant effect on the growth rate of real GDP worldwide, but have a significant effect within particular country groups. The trade network especially, contributes a negative contagion impact on the Chiang Mai Initiative (CMI) and Latin economies while the financial network contributes a negative contagion effect on the Asia-Pacific and inflation targeting countries. Thirdly, the financial network, however, has a worldwide positive consequence on share price index. Finally, the real effective exchange rate overvaluation among the country-specific fundamentals has a significant negative impact on the real GDP growth rate and stock market performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Changmo Ahn & Gyemin Lee & Dongkoo Chang, 2014. "The Global Financial Crisis and Transmission Channels: An International Network Analysis," Working Papers wp07, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
  • Handle: RePEc:sea:wpaper:wp07
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    File URL: https://www.seacen.org/publications/RePEc/702003-100349-PDF.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global Financial Crisis; Transmission; Network Analysis; Trade Network; Financial Network;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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