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Forward guidance announcements and policy effectiveness

Author

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  • Nicola Acocella

    (Department of Methods and Models for Economics, Territory and Finance MEMOTEF, Sapienza University of Rome (Italy))

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the foundations of forward guidance in the light of the theory of controllability in a strategic context. The announcement of future suitable policies can facilitate the control of the economic system by the policymaker, where the term 'control' is used in the sense of the 'classical' theory of economic policy developed by Tinbergen (1952) and others and recently revived in a strategic context. In this context the contribution of forward guidance to controllability has been recognized. However, existing studies have not indicated either the ways through which the different types of announcement can have this effect or the necessary conditions for that.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicola Acocella, "undated". "Forward guidance announcements and policy effectiveness," Working Papers 124/14, Sapienza University of Rome, Metodi e Modelli per l'Economia, il Territorio e la Finanza MEMOTEF.
  • Handle: RePEc:rsq:wpaper:24/14
    as

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    File URL: https://web.uniroma1.it/memotef/sites/default/files/wpapers/documenti/FullTextWP124.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bursian Dirk & Roth Markus, 2014. "Optimal policy and Taylor rule cross-checking under parameter uncertainty," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-24, January.
    2. Acocella,Nicola & Di Bartolomeo,Giovanni & Hughes Hallett,Andrew, 2018. "The Theory of Economic Policy in a Strategic Context," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108468824.
    3. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Charles L. Evans & Jonas D.M. Fisher & Alejandro Justiniano, 2012. "Macroeconomic Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 43(1 (Spring), pages 1-80.
    4. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Michael Woodford, 2003. "The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 34(1), pages 139-235.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forward guidance; Controllability; Theory of economic policy in a strategic context.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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