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Empirical analysis of fiscal dominance and the conduct of monetary policy in Nigeria

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  • Afolabi, Joseph Olarewaju
  • Atolagbe, Oluwafemi

Abstract

The study empirically investigates fiscal dominance and the conduct of monetary policy in Nigeria, using quarterly data from 1986Q1 to 2016Q4. It adopts the vector error correction mechanism (VECM) and cointegration technique to analyze the data and make inference. The findings reveal that there is no evidence of fiscal dominance in Nigeria. The empirical results show that budget deficit, domestic debt and money supply have no significant influence on the average price level. However, budget deficit and domestic debt are shown to have significant influence on money supply, but only in the short-run. The policy implication is that the government should enforce fiscal discipline through the appropriate institution and the Central Bank should be given autonomy to perform the primary function of long-term price stability, among other functions.

Suggested Citation

  • Afolabi, Joseph Olarewaju & Atolagbe, Oluwafemi, 2018. "Empirical analysis of fiscal dominance and the conduct of monetary policy in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 88786, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:88786
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Taofeek Olusola Ayinde & Abiodun S. Bankole, 2021. "Fiscal dominance and exchange rate stability in Nigeria," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
    2. Tersoo Shimonkabir SHITILE & Abubakar SULE, 2019. "Welfare Effect of Monetary Financing," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(5), pages 145-157, September.
    3. PINSHI, Christian P., 2020. "Central Bank of Congo : Four Factors Affecting Monetary Policy Effectiveness," MPRA Paper 104841, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal dominance; fiscal policy; monetary policy; VECM; Nigeria.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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