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The Impacts of the 2008 and 2011 Crises on the Japan REIT Market

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  • Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi
  • Shimada, Junji
  • Li, Kui-Wai

Abstract

This empirical paper studies the fundamental value of the J-REIT price from impact of the 2008 financial crisis and the 2011 Japan earthquake between May 2003 and December 2014. The results show that the fundamental value of the J-REIT is determined only by the real estate price in the long-run. The short-run deviations from the fundamental value of the J-REIT price occur during the 2008 crisis and the 2011 earthquake because the trading volume by foreigners exceeded 50%. The deviations from the fundamental value were less persistent during 2008 and 2011 because the 2011 earthquake caused Japanese investors to focus on earthquake risk while foreigners departed from investing in the J-REIT market.

Suggested Citation

  • Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Shimada, Junji & Li, Kui-Wai, 2016. "The Impacts of the 2008 and 2011 Crises on the Japan REIT Market," MPRA Paper 73463, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:73463
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    Cited by:

    1. Masatomo Suzuki & Seow Eng Ong & Yasushi Asami & Chihiro Shimizu, 2023. "Long-Run Renewal of REIT Property Portfolio Through Strategic Divestment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 1-40, January.
    2. Kohlscheen, Emanuel & Takáts, Előd, 2021. "What can commercial property performance reveal about bank valuations?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    3. Ogawa, Ryoh, 2017. "Using REIT Data to Assess the Economic Worth of Mega-Events: The Case of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics," MPRA Paper 78829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Gabriel O. Oduyemi & Johnson A. Oliyide, 2021. "Price and volatility persistence of the US REITs market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Motegi, Kaiji & Iitsuka, Yoshitaka, 2023. "Inter-regional dependence of J-REIT stock prices: A heteroscedasticity-robust time series approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Li, Kui-Wai & Shimada, Junji & Tsukuda, Yoshihiko, 2020. "The impact of quantitative easing and carry trade on the real estate market in Hong Kong," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 958-976.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis; great earthquake; dynamic effects; J-REIT; stock price; housing price;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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