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Price Discovery in American and British Property Markets

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  • Richard Barkham
  • David Geltner

Abstract

This paper examines the securitized (public) and unsecuritized (private) commercial property markets in the United States and the United Kingdom for evidence of price discovery. Appraisal-based returns are corrected for smoothing, without presupposing the true returns to be uncorrelated or unpredictable across time. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and property company returns are corrected for leverage. We find evidence that price discovery occurs in the securitized market structure in both countries, and that this price information does not fully transmit to the unsecuritized markets for a year or more. In Britain, the unsecuritized market appears to be more closely and immediately linked to the securitized market than is the case in the U.S. Copyright American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Barkham & David Geltner, 1995. "Price Discovery in American and British Property Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 21-44.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:23:y:1995:i:1:p:21-44
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Patric Hendershott & Edward J. Kane, 1992. "Office Market Values During the Past Decade: How Distorted Have Appraisals Been?," NBER Working Papers 4128, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. P. Eichholtz & M. Hoesli & Bryan D. Macgregor & N. Nanthakumaran, 1994. "Real Estate Diversification: by sector or by region," ERES eres1994_108, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    3. repec:arz:wpaper:eres1994-108 is not listed on IDEAS
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