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A Probabilistic Analysis of a Scheduling Problem in the Economics of Tourism


  • Batabyal, Amitrajeet


The scheduling problem faced by a firm (or by a government agency) that is responsible for providing transportation to tourists who would like to visit a particular location has received scant theoretical attention in the tourism literature. Therefore, we conduct a probabilistic analysis of the scheduling problem in this paper. Specifically, we first delineate a generic model that accounts for the common features of visits to many locations such as fiords, game parks, lakes, and wildlife reserves. Next, we derive the transportation providing firm’s long run expected profit per unit time function. Finally, we show that the optimal frequency with which transportation ought to be provided to tourists is the solution to our firm’s long run expected profit maximization problem.

Suggested Citation

  • Batabyal, Amitrajeet, 2007. "A Probabilistic Analysis of a Scheduling Problem in the Economics of Tourism," MPRA Paper 71875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:71875

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jonas Nordström, 2005. "Dynamic and stochastic structures in tourism demand modeling," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 379-392, September.
    2. Yan, Shangyao & Chen, Hao-Lei, 2002. "A scheduling model and a solution algorithm for inter-city bus carriers," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 805-825, November.
    3. Carey, Malachy & Carville, Sinead, 2003. "Scheduling and platforming trains at busy complex stations," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 195-224, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Amitrajeet Batabyal, 2009. "An independence result concerning the arrival rate of and the provision of transport to tourists," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(1), pages 108-115.
    2. Amitrajeet A Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2010. "A stochastic model of the provision of guided tours to tourists," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(1), pages 577-586.
    3. Amitrajeet Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2008. "Visitor classification, vehicle breakdowns, and the provision of transport for tourism," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 99-105, December.
    4. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:577-586 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Amitrajeet Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2011. "Transport provision to tourists by a cost minimizing firm: a stochastic characterization," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 103-108, July.
    6. Fosgerau, Mogens & Karlström, Anders, 2010. "The value of reliability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 38-49, January.
    7. repec:eee:touman:v:31:y:2010:i:4:p:482-485 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Muhammad Chaudhary & Amitrajeet Batabyal, 2009. "A stochastic analysis of alternate ways of scheduling transport for tourists," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 67-75, October.

    More about this item


    Optimal Trip Frequency; Tourism; Transportation; Uncertainty;

    JEL classification:

    • L23 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Organization of Production
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise


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