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Do the macroeconomic variables have any impact on the Islamic bank deposits?An application of ARDL approach to the Malaysian market


  • Mobin, Mohammad Ashraful
  • Masih, Mansur


This paper makes an attempt to investigate the impact of selected macroeconomic variables on the level of deposits in the Islamic banking system. Malaysia is used as a case study. We apply ‘Auto – Regressive Distributive Lag’ model which has taken care of a major limitation of the conventional cointegrating tests in that they suffer from pre-test biases. Based on above rigorous methodology, we try to measure both long- and short-run relationships among these variables. By applying ARDL techniques, we find that the determinants such as, Inflation has strong impact on deposits of Islamic banking system while other macroeconomic variables GDP and Kuala Lumpur composite Index do not have significant impact. Most of the theories related to savings behaviour are not applicable to Islamic banking customers. Therefore, there is a possibility that religious belief might play an important role in the banking decisions of Muslim customers. The most relevant finding from the policy perspective is the significant negative effect of inflation on the Islamic banks’ saving deposits. Controlling inflation and thereby providing macroeconomic stability is essential for promoting Islamic banking.

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  • Mobin, Mohammad Ashraful & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Do the macroeconomic variables have any impact on the Islamic bank deposits?An application of ARDL approach to the Malaysian market," MPRA Paper 62342, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:62342

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Serhan Cevik & Joshua Charap, 2015. "The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 111-124.
    2. Pradeep Agrawal, 2001. "The relation between savings and growth: cointegration and causality evidence from Asia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 499-513.
    3. Kivilcim Metin Ozcan & Asli Gunay & Seda Ertac, 2003. "Determinants of private savings behaviour in Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(12), pages 1405-1416.
    4. Kokila Doshi, 1994. "Determinants Of The Saving Rate: An International Comparison," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 12(1), pages 37-45, January.
    5. Sarantis, Nicholas & Stewart, Chris, 2001. "Saving Behaviour in OECD Countries: Evidence from Panel Cointegration Tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 69(0), pages 22-41, Supplemen.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nazib, Nur Afiyah & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "The response of monetary policy shocks on Islamic bank deposits: evidence from Malaysia based on ARDL approach," MPRA Paper 82094, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item


    Malaysia; Islamic Banking; Depositors' behaviour; ARDL cointegration;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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