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Sectoral effects of monetary policy shock: evidence from India

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  • Singh, Sunny Kumar
  • Rao, D. Tripati

Abstract

This paper analyzes the effect of monetary policy shock on the aggregate as well as on the sectoral output of Indian economy using reduced form vector auto regression (VAR) model. We find that the impact of a monetary policy shock at the sectoral level is heterogeneous. Sectors such as, mining and quarrying, manufacturing, construction and trade, hotel, transport and communications seems to decline more sharply than aggregate output in response to a monetary tightening. We also augment the basic VAR by including three channels- credit channel, exchange rate channel and asset price channel of the monetary policy, and analyze the sector specific importance of each of the channel. The channels through which monetary policy is transmitted to the real economy are found to be different for every sector. In most of the cases, multiple channels are responsible for the changes in the aggregate and sectoral output to the monetary policy shock. These results clearly indicate the need for a sector specific monetary policy in India.

Suggested Citation

  • Singh, Sunny Kumar & Rao, D. Tripati, 2014. "Sectoral effects of monetary policy shock: evidence from India," MPRA Paper 62069, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:62069
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dinabandhu Sethi & Debashis Acharya, 2018. "Estimating Sectoral Disinflation Cost in India: Some Structural VAR Evidence," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(1), pages 23-46, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary transmission mechanism; Sectoral output; VAR; Credit channel; Exchange rate channel; Asset price channel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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