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Electricity consumption and economic growth: evidence from Pakistan

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  • Javid, Attiya Yasmin
  • Muhammad, Javid
  • Awan, Zahid Ashraf

Abstract

The prime objective of this study is to examine the long run relationship between real GDP per capita and electricity consumption for Pakistan over the period 1971 to 2008. The results reveal that there is unidirectional causality from electricity consumption to real GDP per capita. The findings of the study also show that there is a long run relationship between real GDP per capita and electricity consumption. The unidirectional causality running from electricity consumption to economic growth indicates that electricity is a limiting factor to economic growth and hence shocks to electricity supply will have a negative impact on economic growth. The implication emerging from this study is that for an electricity-deficient country like Pakistan, where the electricity sector operates at bare capacity margin, there is a need for planning and investment in infrastructure development to fulfill increased electricity demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Javid, Attiya Yasmin & Muhammad, Javid & Awan, Zahid Ashraf, 2012. "Electricity consumption and economic growth: evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 48011, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Oct 2012.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:48011
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    14. Harkat, Tahar, 2020. "Causality between Energy Consumption and Economic Development: Empirical Evidence from Morocco," MPRA Paper 98313, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    21. Khalid, Waqar & Özdeşer, Hüseyin & Jalil, Abdul, 2021. "An empirical analysis of inter-factor and inter-fuel substitution in the energy sector of Pakistan," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 953-966.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    electricity consumption; economic growth; causal relationship; cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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