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Interdependence in Real Effective Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Model


  • Nagayasu, Jun


We analyze and quantify the interdependence of real effective exchange rates while considering the regional location of countries. More specifically, using the dynamic hierarchical factor model (Moench et al 2011), we decompose exchange rate movements into worldwide and two regional factors as well as country-specific elements. Then we provide evidence that a substantial proportion of variation in the exchange rates is country-specific.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagayasu, Jun, 2013. "Interdependence in Real Effective Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Model," MPRA Paper 45955, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:45955

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jeffrey Frankel & Shang-Jin Wei, 2008. "Estimation of De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes: Synthesis of the Techniques for Inferring Flexibility and Basket Weights," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 55(3), pages 384-416, July.
    2. Ronald Macdonald & Mark P. Taylor, 1992. "Exchange Rate Economics: A Survey," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 39(1), pages 1-57, March.
    3. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2004. "A PANIC Attack on Unit Roots and Cointegration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 1127-1177, July.
    4. Ronald McKinnon & Gunther Schnabl, 2003. "Synchronised Business Cycles in East Asia and Fluctuations in the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(8), pages 1067-1088, August.
    5. Emanuel Moench & Serena Ng & Simon Potter, 2013. "Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(5), pages 1811-1817, December.
    6. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2007. "Determining the Number of Primitive Shocks in Factor Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 52-60, January.
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    More about this item


    Real effective exchange rates; dynamic hierarchical factor model; variance decomposition;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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