IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/40224.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Testing for Common GARCH Factors

Author

Listed:
  • Dovonon, Prosper
  • Renault, Eric

Abstract

This paper proposes a test for common GARCH factors in asset returns. Following Engle and Kozicki (1993), the common GARCH factors property is expressed in terms of testable overidentifying moment restrictions. However, as we show, these moment conditions have a degenerate Jacobian matrix at the true parameter value and therefore the standard asymptotic results of Hansen (1982) do not apply. We show in this context that the Hansen's (1982) J-test statistic is asymptotically distributed as the minimum of the limit of a certain empirical process with a markedly nonstandard distribution. If two assets are considered, this asymptotic distribution is a half-half mixture of chi-squares with H-1 and H degrees of freedom, where H is the number of moment conditions, as opposed to a chi-square with H-1 degree of freedom. With more than two assets, this distribution lies between the chi-square with H-p and the chi-square with H degrees of freedom (p, the number of parameters) and both bounds are conditionally sharp. These results show that ignoring the lack of first order identification of the moment condition model leads to oversized tests with possibly increasing over-rejection rate with the number of assets. A Monte Carlo study illustrates these findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Dovonon, Prosper & Renault, Eric, 2011. "Testing for Common GARCH Factors," MPRA Paper 40224, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:40224
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/40224/1/MPRA_paper_40224.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-1054, July.
    2. Diebold, Francis X & Nerlove, Marc, 1989. "The Dynamics of Exchange Rate Volatility: A Multivariate Latent Factor Arch Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(1), pages 1-21, Jan.-Mar..
    3. Hecq Alain & Palm Franz C. & Laurent Sébastien, 2016. "On the Univariate Representation of BEKK Models with Common Factors," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 91-113, July.
    4. Lee, Lung-Fei & Chesher, Andrew, 1986. "Specification testing when score test statistics are identically zero," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 121-149, March.
    5. Engle, Robert F & Kozicki, Sharon, 1993. "Testing for Common Features," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(4), pages 369-380, October.
    6. Sargan, J D, 1983. "Identification and Lack of Identification," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(6), pages 1605-1633, November.
    7. Engle, Robert F & Kozicki, Sharon, 1993. "Testing for Common Features: Reply," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(4), pages 393-395, October.
    8. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    9. Donald W. K. Andrews & Xu Cheng, 2012. "Estimation and Inference With Weak, Semi‐Strong, and Strong Identification," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(5), pages 2153-2211, September.
    10. Chamberlain, Gary, 1986. "Asymptotic efficiency in semi-parametric models with censoring," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 189-218, July.
    11. Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A., 1989. "A General Framework for Testing a Null Hypothesis in a “Mixed” Form," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 63-82, April.
    12. Cragg, John G. & Donald, Stephen G., 1993. "Testing Identifiability and Specification in Instrumental Variable Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 222-240, April.
    13. Engle, Robert F. & Ng, Victor K. & Rothschild, Michael, 1990. "Asset pricing with a factor-arch covariance structure : Empirical estimates for treasury bills," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1-2), pages 213-237.
    14. Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Likelihood-Based Estimation of Latent Generalized ARCH Structures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(5), pages 1481-1517, September.
    15. Catherine Doz & Eric Renault, 2006. "Factor Stochastic Volatility in Mean Models: A GMM Approach," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2-3), pages 275-309.
    16. Angelo Melino, 1982. "Testing for Sample Selection Bias," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 49(1), pages 151-153.
    17. Phillips, P.C.B., 1989. "Partially Identified Econometric Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(2), pages 181-240, August.
    18. Douglas Staiger & James H. Stock, 1997. "Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(3), pages 557-586, May.
    19. Engle, Robert F & Susmel, Raul, 1993. "Common Volatility in International Equity Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(2), pages 167-176, April.
    20. James H. Stock & Jonathan Wright, 2000. "GMM with Weak Identification," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(5), pages 1055-1096, September.
    21. Engle, Robert F. & Marcucci, Juri, 2006. "A long-run Pure Variance Common Features model for the common volatilities of the Dow Jones," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 7-42, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dovonon, Prosper & Gonçalves, Sílvia, 2017. "Bootstrapping the GMM overidentification test under first-order underidentification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(1), pages 43-71.
    2. Alastair R. Hall, 2013. "Generalized Method of Moments," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 14, pages 313-333, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Mardi Dungey & Eric Renault, 2018. "Identifying contagion," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 227-250, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dovonon, Prosper & Hall, Alastair R. & Kleibergen, Frank, 2020. "Inference in second-order identified models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 346-372.
    2. Catherine Doz & Eric Renault, 2004. "Conditionaly Heteroskedastic Factor Models : Identificationand Instrumental variables Estmation," THEMA Working Papers 2004-13, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    3. Dovonon, Prosper & Gonçalves, Sílvia, 2017. "Bootstrapping the GMM overidentification test under first-order underidentification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(1), pages 43-71.
    4. Dovonon, Prosper & Hall, Alastair R., 2018. "The asymptotic properties of GMM and indirect inference under second-order identification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 76-111.
    5. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654.
    6. Tse, Yiuman, 1998. "International transmission of information: evidence from the Euroyen and Eurodollar futures markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 909-929, December.
    7. Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F. & Nelson, Daniel B., 1986. "Arch models," Handbook of Econometrics, in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 49, pages 2959-3038, Elsevier.
    8. Hecq Alain & Palm Franz C. & Laurent Sébastien, 2016. "On the Univariate Representation of BEKK Models with Common Factors," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 91-113, July.
    9. Arthur Lewbel, 2019. "The Identification Zoo: Meanings of Identification in Econometrics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 57(4), pages 835-903, December.
    10. Engle, Robert F. & Marcucci, Juri, 2006. "A long-run Pure Variance Common Features model for the common volatilities of the Dow Jones," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 7-42, May.
    11. Mardi Dungey & Eric Renault, 2018. "Identifying contagion," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 227-250, March.
    12. Prosper Dovonon & Alastair R. Hall, 2017. "The Asymptotic Properties of GMM and Indirect Inference Under Second-Order Identification," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1705, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    13. Arellano, Manuel & Hansen, Lars Peter & Sentana, Enrique, 2012. "Underidentification?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 256-280.
    14. Alastair R. Hall, 2015. "Econometricians Have Their Moments: GMM at 32," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(S1), pages 1-24, June.
    15. LeBaron, Blake, 2003. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance,: Philip Hans Franses and Dick van Dijk, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2000, 296 pp., Paperback, ISBN 0-521-77965-0, $33, [UK pound]22.95, [," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 751-752.
    16. Doseong Kim & Yoon-Goo Lee & Isabel Ruiz, 2010. "Common Volatility: An Empirical Investigation of Closed-End Country Funds," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(2), pages 116-132, March.
    17. Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 106(2), pages 165-185, June.
    18. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
    19. Constantinos Katrakilidis & Athanasios Koulakiotis, 2006. "The Impact of Stock Exchange Rules on Volatility and Error Transmission -- The Case of Frankfurt and Zurich Cross-Listed Equities," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 7(2), pages 321-338, November.
    20. Cheng, Xu, 2015. "Robust inference in nonlinear models with mixed identification strength," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 207-228.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    GARCH factors; Nonstandard asymptotics; GMM; GMM overidenti fication test; identifi cation; first order identification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:40224. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.