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The relationship between stock returns and volatility in the seventeen largest international stock markets: A semi-parametric approach

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  • Dimitriou, Dimitrios
  • Simos, Theodore

Abstract

We empirically investigate the relationship between expected stock returns and volatility in the twelve EMU countries as well as five major out of EMU international stock markets. The sample period starts from December 1992 until December 2007 i.e. up to the recent financial crisis. Empirical results in the literature are mixed with regard to the sign and significance of the mean – variance tradeoff. Based on parametric GARCH in mean models we find a weak relationship between expected returns and volatility for most of the markets. However, using a flexible semi-parametric specification for the conditional variance, we unravel significant evidence of a negative relationship in almost all markets. Furthermore, we investigate a related issue, the asymmetric reaction of volatility to positive and negative shocks in stock returns confirming a negative asymmetry in all markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitriou, Dimitrios & Simos, Theodore, 2011. "The relationship between stock returns and volatility in the seventeen largest international stock markets: A semi-parametric approach," MPRA Paper 37528, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37528
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/37528/1/MPRA_paper_37528.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Shawky, Hany A. & Marathe, Achla, 1995. "Expected stock returns and volatility in a two-regime market," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 47(5), pages 409-421, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Hui-Ming & Li, ZhaoLai & You, WanHai & Zeng, Zhaofa, 2015. "Revisiting the asymmetric dynamic dependence of stock returns: Evidence from a quantile autoregression model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 142-153.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk-return tradeoff; international stock markets; semi-parametric specification of conditional variance;

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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