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Causal Links Between Trade And Economic Growth Evidence From Turkey And European Union Countries

Author

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  • Karahasan, Burhan Can

Abstract

Openness and economic growth is discussed by heavy concentration on the deterministic relationship running from trade flows to economic growth. While traditional motive of export promotion based growth strategies is heavily discussed, it is the modern growth theories that define possible alternative mechanisms. Technology transfer, place of innovation and spillovers are at the center of the debate. However it is the more contemporary studies that also underline the possible reverse relationship. Originating from such a discussion the study aims to search for the causal relationship by working on a new European Union candidate country, Turkey. Results point out that short term dynamics illustrates a two way relationship.

Suggested Citation

  • Karahasan, Burhan Can, 2009. "Causal Links Between Trade And Economic Growth Evidence From Turkey And European Union Countries," MPRA Paper 29809, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:29809
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/29809/1/MPRA_paper_29809.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    2. Luis A. Rivera-Batiz & Paul M. Romer, 1991. "Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 106(2), pages 531-555.
    3. Balassa, Bela, 1978. "Exports and economic growth : Further evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 181-189, June.
    4. Awokuse, Titus O., 2007. "Causality between exports, imports, and economic growth: Evidence from transition economies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 389-395, March.
    5. Xiaming Liu & Haiyan Song & Peter Romilly, 1997. "An empirical investigation of the causal relationship between openness and economic growth in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(12), pages 1679-1686.
    6. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    7. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    international trade; causality; Turkey;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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