IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/131208.html

Turismo como motor económico de El Salvador: evidencia desde matrices insumo-producto 2005-2024
[Tourism as economic engine in El Salvador: evidence from 2005-2024 input-output tables]

Author

Listed:
  • Quiteño, Carlos
  • Quiteño, Héctor
  • Barreal, Jesús

Abstract

Within the context of El Salvador's recent tourism boom, this study examines the transmission mechanisms through which tourism contributes to economic growth, contrasting the Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis (TLGH) with the sector's structural evolution. Using a homogeneous series of domestic Input-Output tables (IOT) for 2005, 2014 and 2024, productive linkages, output, employment and income multipliers, and the sector's foreign exchange retention capacity are identified. The results identify a "V-shaped" recovery in domestic content, raising the Domestic Value Added (DVA) embodied in tourism exports to 80.5% in 2024. Linkage analysis confirms that the sector operates as a key backward-linkage driver, with output and income multipliers above the sectoral average. The recent weakening of total multipliers is largely explained by the decline in their indirect component, suggesting a reduction in traction over local suppliers.

Suggested Citation

  • Quiteño, Carlos & Quiteño, Héctor & Barreal, Jesús, 2026. "Turismo como motor económico de El Salvador: evidencia desde matrices insumo-producto 2005-2024 [Tourism as economic engine in El Salvador: evidence from 2005-2024 input-output tables]," MPRA Paper 131208, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Aug 2026.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:131208
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/131208/1/MPRA_paper_131208.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Iza Lejárraga & Peter Walkenhorst, 2013. "Economic policy, tourism trade and productive diversification," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 135-136, pages 1-12.
    2. Umed Temurshoev & Marcel P. Timmer, 2011. "Joint estimation of supply and use tables," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 90(4), pages 863-882, November.
    3. Irina Klytchnikova & Paul Dorosh, 2013. "Tourism sector in Panama: Regional economic impacts and the potential to benefit the poor," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 0(2), pages 70-79, May.
    4. repec:cii:cepiei:2013-q3-4-135-136-1 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Ulrich Gunter & M. Graziano Ceddia & David Leonard & Bernhard Tröster, 2018. "Contribution of international ecotourism to comprehensive economic development and convergence in the Central American and Caribbean region," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(33), pages 3614-3629, July.
    6. Canh, Nguyen Phuc & Thanh, Su Dinh, 2020. "Domestic tourism spending and economic vulnerability," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    7. Juan Gabriel Brida & Isabel Cortes-Jimenez & Manuela Pulina, 2016. "Has the tourism-led growth hypothesis been validated? A literature review," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 394-430, April.
    8. Irina Klytchnikova & Paul Dorosh, 2013. "Tourism sector in Panama: Regional economic impacts and the potential to benefit the poor," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(2), pages 70-79, May.
    9. Pablo Juan Cárdenas-García & Juan Gabriel Brida & Verónica Segarra, 2024. "Modeling the link between tourism and economic development: evidence from homogeneous panels of countries," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    10. Sun, Zhaoyang & Liu, Ling & Pan, Runquan & Wang, Yiwei & Zhang, Bingbing, 2025. "Tourism and economic growth: The role of institutional quality," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pablo Juan Cárdenas-García & Juan Gabriel Brida & Verónica Segarra, 2024. "Modeling the link between tourism and economic development: evidence from homogeneous panels of countries," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Tourism Development and Poverty Alleviation in Sub-Saharan African Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers 2122, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    3. Juan Gabriel Brida & Martín Olivera & Manuela Pulina, 2026. "Determinants of visitors’ flow in Uruguay: A SARIMAX approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 32(1), pages 105-128, February.
    4. Cicowiez, Martín & Ordóñez, Romina, 2021. "The economic impacts of tourism-related private investment in Jamaica," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    5. Nicholas M Odhiambo, 2021. "Tourism Development and Poverty Alleviation in Sub-Saharan African Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers AERI0921, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    6. Khalid El Houcine & Lhoussaine Alla, 2026. "Structural Determinants of Tourism-Led Economic Growth: A Meta-Analytic Review," Economies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-28, May.
    7. Haoyu Shu & Jianping Zha & Rong Ma & Minqing Yan, 2024. "Chance or challenge? Understanding how the Internet affects the nexus between tourism and urban-rural income inequality," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(8), pages 2089-2110, December.
    8. Alejandro Alcalá-Ordóñez & Verónica Segarra, 2025. "Tourism and economic development: A literature review to highlight main empirical findings," Tourism Economics, , vol. 31(1), pages 76-103, February.
    9. Vinko Muštra & Blanka Škrabić Perić & Smiljana Pivčević, 2023. "Cultural heritage sites, tourism and regional economic resilience," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(3), pages 465-482, June.
    10. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, "undated". "Tourism Development And Poverty Alleviation In Sub-Saharan African Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers AESRI09, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    11. Yanxia Wang & Jianping Yang & Fan Tang & Qiuling Ge & Qingshan He & Xun Dai, 2022. "Analysis of the Reciprocal Feedback between Glacier Tourism Development and Regional Economic Growth in Hailuogou," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, December.
    12. Garrod Brian & Almeida António & Machado Luiz, 2023. "Modelling of nonlinear asymmetric effects of changes in tourism on economic growth in an autonomous small-island economy," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Paradigm, vol. 13(2), pages 154-172, December.
    13. Okumus, Fevzi & Kocak, Emrah, 2023. "Tourism and economic output: Do asymmetries matter?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    14. Los, Bart & Timmer, Marcel P. & de Vries, Gaaitzen J., 2015. "How important are exports for job growth in China? A demand side analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 19-32.
    15. Kumar, Nikeel Nishkar & Patel, Arvind, 2023. "Nonlinear effect of air travel tourism demand on economic growth in Fiji," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    16. Salih Türedi & Mustafa Şit & Haydar Karadağ & Chew Ging Lee, 2023. "Does healthcare sector development affect inbound tourism? Evidence from ASEAN countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(6), pages 1662-1670, September.
    17. José Alberto Fuinhas & Daniela Castilho & Volkan Kaymaz & Matheus Koengkan, 2025. "Is tourism a primary driver of inflation in house prices? The case of European countries," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 72(2), pages 1-28, December.
    18. Jie, Zhifeng, 2025. "How does international tourism revenue affect economic development? A perspective of human capital," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1546-1568.
    19. Alejandro Alcalá‐Ordóñez & Juan Gabriel Brida & Pablo Juan Cárdenas‐García & Verónica Segarra, 2025. "Tourism as an instrument of economic growth: Empirical exploration at the regional level in Spain," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(1), pages 222-243, February.
    20. Robert Stehrer, 2012. "Trade in Value Added and the Valued Added in Trade," wiiw Working Papers 81, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:131208. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.