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Has the tourism-led growth hypothesis been validated? A literature review

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  • Juan Gabriel Brida
  • Isabel Cortes-Jimenez
  • Manuela Pulina

Abstract

Over 10 years have passed since the first paper on the tourism-led growth hypothesis (TLGH) was published in 2002. Since then, a wave of studies has appeared trying to understand the temporal relationship between tourism and economic growth. Hence, it is possible to provide an assessment in terms of econometric methods used and main empirical findings achieved so far. This paper presents an exhaustive review of approximately 100 peer-reviewed published papers on the TLGH. An overview on the economic theoretical framework behind the TLGH is also provided. Notably, the results present an increasing diversification in the econometric modelling used. With a few exceptions, the empirical findings suggest that overall international tourism drives economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Gabriel Brida & Isabel Cortes-Jimenez & Manuela Pulina, 2016. "Has the tourism-led growth hypothesis been validated? A literature review," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 394-430, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:rcitxx:v:19:y:2016:i:5:p:394-430
    DOI: 10.1080/13683500.2013.868414
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    Cited by:

    1. Amin, Sakib Bin & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "Tourism, sustainability, and the economy in Bangladesh: The innovation connection amidst Covid-19," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 153-167.
    2. Garrod Brian & Almeida António & Machado Luiz, 2023. "Modelling of nonlinear asymmetric effects of changes in tourism on economic growth in an autonomous small-island economy," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 13(2), pages 154-172, December.
    3. Okumus, Fevzi & Kocak, Emrah, 2023. "Tourism and economic output: Do asymmetries matter?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    4. Martin Enilov & Yuan Wang, 2022. "Tourism and economic growth: Multi-country evidence from mixed-frequency Granger causality tests," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1216-1239, August.
    5. Kumar, Nikeel Nishkar & Patel, Arvind, 2023. "Nonlinear effect of air travel tourism demand on economic growth in Fiji," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    6. Bernardina Algieri & Antonio à lvarez, 2023. "Assessing the ability of regions to attract foreign tourists: The case of Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 788-811, May.
    7. Vinko Muštra & Blanka Škrabić Perić & Smiljana Pivčević, 2023. "Cultural heritage sites, tourism and regional economic resilience," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(3), pages 465-482, June.
    8. Sarantis Lolos & Panagiotis Palaios & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2023. "Tourism-led growth asymmetries in Greece: evidence from quantile regression analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 22(1), pages 125-148, January.
    9. Bernini, Cristina & Galli, Federica, 2023. "Innovation, productivity and spillover effects in the Italian accommodation industry," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    10. Risso, Adrián, 2022. "El impacto de los programas de inversión pública en turismo sobre los ingresos por turismo en América Latina y el Caribe," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12041, Inter-American Development Bank.
    11. Philip Watson & Steven Deller, 2022. "Tourism and economic resilience," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1193-1215, August.
    12. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & Heiko Rachinger & María Santana-Gallego, 2022. "Does tourism promote economic growth? A fractionally integrated heterogeneous panel data analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1355-1376, August.
    13. Roberto Balado-Naves & David Boto-García & José Francisco Baños-Pino, 2024. "A multisector growth model for testing the Tourism-Led Growth versus the Beach Disease hypotheses," Efficiency Series Papers 2024/01, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    14. Chen, Liang & Guo, Yirong, 2023. "Revisiting resources extraction perspective in determining the tourism industry: Globalisation and human capital for next-11 economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    15. Jun Zhang, 2023. "Spatial effects of tourism development on economic resilience: an empirical study of Wenchuan earthquake based on dynamic spatial Durbin model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(1), pages 309-329, January.
    16. Goran Karanovic, 2023. "Exploring the Intrinsic Factors Influencing Return on Assets: A Case Study of the Hotel Industry in Selected EU Countries," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 16(1), pages 54-61, October.
    17. Jean-François Hoarau, 2022. "Is international tourism responsible for the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic? A cross-country analysis with a special focus on small islands," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(2), pages 493-528, May.
    18. Juan Gabriel Brida & Pablo Juan Cárdenas-García & Verónica Segarra, 2023. "Turismo y Desarrollo Económico: una Exploración Empírica," Working Papers 283, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    19. Portella-Carbó, Ferran & Pérez-Montiel, Jose & Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2023. "Tourism-led economic growth across the business cycle: Evidence from Europe (1995–2021)," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1241-1253.
    20. Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Yousaf, Imran & Makram, Beljid, 2023. "Spillovers between positively and negatively affected service sectors from the COVID-19 health crisis: Implications for portfolio management," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    21. Dogan, Ergun & Zhang, Xibin, 2023. "A nonparametric panel data model for examining the contribution of tourism to economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    22. Lamia Jamel, 2020. "The Relation between Tourism and Economic Growth: A Case of Saudi Arabia as an Emerging Tourism Destination," Virtual Economics, The London Academy of Science and Business, vol. 3(4), pages 29-47, October.
    23. Theodore Panagiotidis & Maurizio Mussoni & Georgios Voucharas, 2023. "How Important is Tourism for Growth?," Working Paper series 23-13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    24. L. Vargiu & B. Biagi & M.G. Brandano & P. Postiglione, 2023. "Research Infrastructures and Regional Growth: the case of Europe," Working Paper CRENoS 202314, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.

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