IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/106938.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Time evolution of city distributions in Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Ikeda, Kiyohiro
  • Osawa, Minoru
  • Takayama, Yuki

Abstract

This paper aims to capture characteristic agglomeration patterns in population data in Germany from 1987 to 2011, encompassing pre- and post-unification periods. We utilize a group-theoretic double Fourier spectrum analysis procedure (Ikeda et al., 2018) as a systematic means to capture characteristic agglomeration patterns in population data. Among a plethora of patterns to be self-organized from a uniform state, we focus on a megalopolis pattern, a rhombic pattern, and a core--satellite pattern (a downtown surrounded by hexagonal satellite cities). As the technical contribution of this paper, we newly introduce a principal vector as a superposition of these patterns in order to grasp the multi-scale nature of agglomerations. Benchmark spectra for these patterns are advanced and are found in the population data of Germany in 2011. An incremental population is investigated using this principal vector to successfully detect a shift of predominant population increase/decrease patterns in the pre- and post-unification periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Ikeda, Kiyohiro & Osawa, Minoru & Takayama, Yuki, 2021. "Time evolution of city distributions in Germany," MPRA Paper 106938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:106938
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/106938/1/MPRA_paper_106938.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. B. Curtis Eaton & Richard G. Lipsey, 1975. "The Principle of Minimum Differentiation Reconsidered: Some New Developments in the Theory of Spatial Competition," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 42(1), pages 27-49.
    2. Stephen J. Redding & Daniel M. Sturm, 2008. "The Costs of Remoteness: Evidence from German Division and Reunification," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(5), pages 1766-1797, December.
    3. Ikeda, Kiyohiro & Murota, Kazuo & Akamatsu, Takashi & Kono, Tatsuhito & Takayama, Yuki, 2014. "Self-organization of hexagonal agglomeration patterns in new economic geography models," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 32-52.
    4. Tabuchi, Takatoshi & Thisse, Jacques-François, 2011. "A new economic geography model of central places," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 240-252, March.
    5. César Ducruet & Laurent Beauguitte, 2014. "Spatial Science and Network Science: Review and Outcomes of a Complex Relationship," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 297-316, December.
    6. Fujita, Masahisa & Krugman, Paul & Mori, Tomoya, 1999. "On the evolution of hierarchical urban systems1," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 209-251, February.
    7. Kiyohiro Ikeda & Kazuo Murota & Yuki Takayama, 2017. "Stable Economic Agglomeration Patterns In Two Dimensions: Beyond The Scope Of Central Place Theory," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(1), pages 132-172, January.
    8. Michal Banaszak & Michal Dziecielski & Peter Nijkamp & Waldemar Ratajczak, 2015. "Self-Organisation in Spatial Systems—From Fractal Chaos to Regular Patterns and Vice Versa," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(9), pages 1-13, September.
    9. César Ducruet & Laurent Beauguitte, 2014. "Network science and spatial science : Review and outcomes of a complex relationship," Post-Print hal-03246947, HAL.
    10. Gordon Mulligan & Mark Partridge & John Carruthers, 2012. "Central place theory and its reemergence in regional science," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 48(2), pages 405-431, April.
    11. Munz, M & Weidlich, W, 1990. "Settlement Formation: Part II: Numerical Simulation," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 24(3), pages 177-196.
    12. Dirk Stelder, 2005. "Where Do Cities Form? A Geographical Agglomeration Model for Europe," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(4), pages 657-679, November.
    13. Daisuke Murakami & Daniel Griffith, 2015. "Random effects specifications in eigenvector spatial filtering: a simulation study," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 311-331, October.
    14. Findeisen, Sebastian & Südekum, Jens, 2008. "Industry churning and the evolution of cities: Evidence for Germany," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 326-339, September.
    15. Maarten Bosker & Steven Brakman & Harry Garretsen & Marc Schramm, 2010. "Adding geography to the new economic geography: bridging the gap between theory and empirics," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(6), pages 793-823, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hiroki Aizawa & Kiyohiro Ikeda & Yosuke Kogure, 2023. "Satellite City Formation for a Spatial Economic Model," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 529-558, September.
    2. Kogure, Yosuke & Ikeda, Kiyohiro, 2022. "Group-theoretic Study of Economic Agglomerations on a Square Lattice," MPRA Paper 112842, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ikeda, Kiyohrio & Onda, Mikihisa & Takayama, Yuki, 2017. "Bifurcation theory of a square lattice economy: Racetrack economy analogy in an economic geography model," MPRA Paper 78120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Kogure, Yosuke & Ikeda, Kiyohiro, 2022. "Group-theoretic Study of Economic Agglomerations on a Square Lattice," MPRA Paper 112842, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. José M. Gaspar, 2018. "A prospective review on New Economic Geography," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 61(2), pages 237-272, September.
    4. Ikeda, Kiyohiro & Onda, Mikihisa & Takayama, Yuki, 2018. "Spatial period doubling, invariant pattern, and break point in economic agglomeration in two dimensions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 129-152.
    5. Ikeda, Kiyohiro & Murota, Kazuo & Akamatsu, Takashi & Kono, Tatsuhito & Takayama, Yuki, 2014. "Self-organization of hexagonal agglomeration patterns in new economic geography models," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 32-52.
    6. Minoru Osawa & Takashi Akamatsu & Yuki Takayama, 2017. "Harris And Wilson (1978) Model Revisited: The Spatial Period‐Doubling Cascade In An Urban Retail Model," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(3), pages 442-466, June.
    7. Takashi Akamatsu & Tomoya Mori & Minoru Osawa & Yuki Takayama, 2017. "Spatial Scale of Agglomeration and Dispersion: Theoretical Foundations and Empirical Implications," KIER Working Papers 974, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    8. Marcus Berliant & Tomoya Mori, 2017. "Beyond urban form: How Masahisa Fujita shapes us," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 13(1), pages 5-28, March.
    9. Hiroki Aizawa & Kiyohiro Ikeda & Yosuke Kogure, 2023. "Satellite City Formation for a Spatial Economic Model," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 529-558, September.
    10. Wieland, Thomas, 2014. "Räumliches Einkaufsverhalten und Standortpolitik im Einzelhandel unter Berücksichtigung von Agglomerationseffekten: Theoretische Erklärungsansätze, modellanalytische Zugänge und eine empirisch-ökonome," MPRA Paper 77163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. James R. Fain, 2017. "City formation with complex landscapes," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 125-137, October.
    12. Kiyohiro Ikeda & Kazuo Murota & Takashi Akamatsu & Yuki Takayama, 2017. "Agglomeration patterns in a long narrow economy of a new economic geography model: Analogy to a racetrack economy," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 13(1), pages 113-145, March.
    13. Kim, Ho Yeon, 2012. "Shrinking population and the urban hierarchy," IDE Discussion Papers 360, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    14. Takashi Akamatsu & Tomoya Mori & Yuki Takayama, 2015. "Agglomerations in a multi-region economy: Poly-centric versus mono-centric patterns," KIER Working Papers 929, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    15. Kiyohiro Ikeda & Mikihisa Onda & Yuki Takayama, 2019. "Bifurcation Theory of a Racetrack Economy in a Spatial Economy Model," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 57-82, March.
    16. Baum-Snow, Nathaniel & Henderson, J. Vernon & Turner, Matthew A. & Zhang, Qinghua & Brandt, Loren, 2020. "Does investment in national highways help or hurt hinterland city growth?," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    17. Dobis, Elizabeth A. & Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M & Mulder, Peter, 2015. "The Significance of Urban Hierarchy in Explaining Population Dynamics in the United States," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205869, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Ho Yeon KIM & Petra de Jong & Jan Rouwendal & Aleid Brouwer, 2012. "Shrinking population and the urban hierarchy [Housing preferences and attribute importance among Dutch older adults: a conjoint choice experiment]," ERSA conference papers ersa12p350, European Regional Science Association.
    19. de Palma, André & Papageorgiou, Yorgos Y. & Thisse, Jacques-François & Ushchev, Philip, 2019. "About the origin of cities," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1-13.
    20. Kogure, Yosuke & Ikeda, Kiyohiro, 2021. "Group-theoretic analysis of a scalar field on a square lattice," MPRA Paper 107740, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central place theory City distribution Core--satellite pattern German reunification Hexagons Megalopolis Spectrum analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • R0 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:106938. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.