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Türkiye’de Suç Oranları Sürekliliğinin Analizi

  • Aslan, Alper
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    Suç, tüm dünya hükümetlerine meydan okuyan büyük sosyal bir problemdir. Tarihsel olarak, sosyal bilimciler ve kriminoloji uzmanları suç arastırma vakalarına ana katkıyı gerçeklestiren kimselerdir. Bu genis arastırma alanının güzel bir örneği suç davranısı ve issizlik arasında iliskiyi üstlenen modeldir. Aslında, bu ana sorun kriminoloji ve emek ekonomisinin kesisim alanıdır. Bu iliskinin genis literatürle incelenmesine rağmen, yeni önemli bir soru gündeme gelmektedir. “Suç oranlarında yakınsama gerçeklesmekte midir?” Bu çalısmada Türkiye’deki 81 ilde gerçeklesen suç oranları (1998-2006) yakınsaması Lima ve Resende (2007) süreklilik metodolojisi uygulanarak incelenmistir. IPS (Im Peseran Shin) testlerinde yaralama, dolandırıcılık, kaçakçılık, icra iflas kanununa karsı gelme, uyusturucu madde kullanımı ve imali ile rüsvet suçları için birim kökün yokluğu hipotezi reddedilememistir. Sonuçta, Türkiye’de 81 il için yaralama, dolandırıcılık, kaçakçılık, icra iflas kanununa karsı gelme, uyusturucu madde kullanımı ve imali ile rüsvet suçları güçlü bir sekilde süreklilik sergilemektedir.

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/10610/1/MPRA_paper_10610.pdf
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    Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 10610.

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    Date of creation: 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:10610
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