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Optimal Bonus Points in the Australian Football League

  • Liam J. A. Lenten

    ()

    (School of Economics and Finance, La Trobe University)

  • Niven Winchester

    ()

    (Department of Economics, University of Otago)

Bonus point systems are a popular tournament design feature in some sports. We consider a bonus point system for the Australian Football League (AFL). In this paper, we utilise league points as a measure of team strength in a prediction model and choose the allocation of points to maximise prediction accuracy. For AFL data extending over seasons 1997-2008, we determine a bonus points system that does a better job at revealing strong teams than the current allocation of league points. We conclude that there is considerable scope for the introduction bonus points to improve tournament design in the AFL.

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File URL: http://www.business.otago.ac.nz/econ/research/discussionpapers/DP_0903.pdf
File Function: First version, 2009
Download Restriction: no

Paper provided by University of Otago, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0903.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2009
Date of revision: Mar 2009
Handle: RePEc:otg:wpaper:0903
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Web page: http://www.business.otago.ac.nz/econ
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  1. Liam J. A. Lenten, 2008. "Unbalanced Schedules And The Estimation Of Competitive Balance In The Scottish Premier League," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 55(4), pages 488-508, 09.
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