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Are Larger Banks Valued More Highly?

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  • Bernadette A. Minton
  • René M. Stulz
  • Alvaro G. Taboada

Abstract

We investigate whether the value of large banks, defined as banks with assets in excess of the Dodd-Frank threshold for enhanced supervision, increases with the size of their assets using Tobin’s q and market-to-book as our valuation measures. Many argue that large banks receive subsidies from the regulatory safety net, so they should be worth more and their valuation should increase with size. Instead, using a variety of approaches, we find (1) no evidence that large banks are valued more highly, (2) strong cross-sectional evidence that the valuation of large banks falls with size, and (3) strong evidence of a within-bank negative relation between valuation and size for large banks from 1987 to 2006 but not when the post-Dodd-Frank period is included in the sample. The negative relation between bank value and bank size for large banks cannot be systematically explained by differences in ROA or ROE, equity volatility, tail risk, distress risk, and equity discount rates. However, we find that banks with more trading assets are worth less. A 1% increase in trading assets is associated with a Tobin’s q lower by 0.2% in regressions with year and bank fixed effects. This relation between bank value and trading assets helps explain the cross-sectional negative relation between large bank valuation and size. Our results hold when we use instrumental variables for bank size.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernadette A. Minton & René M. Stulz & Alvaro G. Taboada, 2017. "Are Larger Banks Valued More Highly?," NBER Working Papers 23212, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23212
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    9. Riccardo Ferretti & Giovanni Gallo & Andrea Landi & Valeria Venturelli, 2018. "Market-Book Ratios of European Banks: What Does Explain the Structural Fall?," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0065, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    10. Robert McKeown, 2017. "Costs, Size And Returns To Scale Among Canadian And U.s. Commercial Banks," Working Paper 1382, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    11. Dávila, Eduardo & Walther, Ansgar, 2020. "Does size matter? Bailouts with large and small banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 1-22.
    12. Ersan Ersoy & Beata Swiecka & Simon Grima & Ercan Özen & Inna Romanova, 2022. "The Impact of ESG Scores on Bank Market Value? Evidence from the U.S. Banking Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-14, August.
    13. Du, Ding & Osmonbekov, Talai, 2020. "Direct effect of advertising spending on firm value: Moderating role of financial analyst coverage," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 196-212.
    14. Tran, Dung Viet & Nguyen, Cuong, 2023. "Policy uncertainty and bank’s funding costs: The effects of the financial crisis, Covid-19 pandemic, and market discipline," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    15. Yang, Huan & Cai, Jun & Huang, Lin & Marcus, Alan J., 2021. "Bank stocks, risk factors, and tail behavior," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 203-229.
    16. René M. Stulz, 2019. "FinTech, BigTech, and the Future of Banks," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 31(4), pages 86-97, December.
    17. Li, Zongyuan & Lai, Rose Neng, 2024. "Are “too big to fail” banks just different in size? – A study on systemic risk and stand-alone risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    18. Robert McKeown, 2017. "Where Are The Economies Of Scale In Canadian Banking?," Working Paper 1380, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    19. Joseph P. Hughes & Loretta J. Mester, 2018. "The Performance of Financial Institutions: Modeling, Evidence, and Some Policy Implications," Departmental Working Papers 201805, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    20. René M. Stulz, 2022. "FinTech, BigTech, and the Future of Banks," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 34(1), pages 106-117, March.
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    22. Samuel Antill & Asani Sarkar, 2018. "Is size everything?," Staff Reports 864, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    23. Michael Donadelli & Patrick Grüning & Steffen Hitzemann, 2019. "Understanding Macro and Asset Price Dynamics During the Climate Transition," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 18, Bank of Lithuania.
    24. Curi, Claudia & Lozano-Vivas, Ana, 2020. "Managerial ability as a tool for prudential regulation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 87-107.
    25. Robert McKeown, 2017. "An Overview Of The Canadian Banking System: 1996 To 2015," Working Paper 1379, Economics Department, Queen's University.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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