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Is There Chronic Excess Supply of Labor? Designing a Statistical Test

  • Richard E. Quandt
  • Harvey S. Rosen

In this paper we present and implement a statistical test of the hypothesis that the labor market has chronic excess supply. The procedure is to estimate a disequilibrium labor market model, and construct a test statistic based on the unconditional probability that there is excess supply each period. We find that the data reject the hypothesis of chronic excess supply. Hence, one cannot assume that all observations lie on the demand curve.

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File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/t0046.pdf
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Technical Working Papers with number 0046.

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Date of creation: Apr 1985
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Publication status: published as Quandt, Richard E. and Harvey S. Rosen, "Is There Chronic Excess Supply of Labor? Designing a Statistical Test," Economics Letters, Vol. 19, pp. 193- 197, 1985.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberte:0046
Note: LS
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  1. Richard Quandt & Harvey Rosen, 1977. "Estimation of Disequilibrium Aggregate Labor Market," Working Papers 476, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
  2. Sarantis, Nicholas C., 1981. "Employment, labor supply and real wages in market disequilibrium," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 335-354.
  3. Eaton, Jonathan & Quandt, Richard E, 1983. "A Model of Rationing and Labour Supply: Theory and Estimation," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 50(199), pages 221-33, August.
  4. Romer, David, 1981. "Rosen and Quandt's Disequilibrium Model of the Labor Market: A Revision," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 63(1), pages 145-46, February.
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