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Financial Liberalization and Business Cycles:The Experience of Future EU Member States in the Baltics and Central Eastern Europe

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  • Lucio Vinhas de Souza

    (Kiel Institute for World Economics)

Abstract

This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European future Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of “emerging markets”. This work finds signs that, contrary to other emerging markets, this does not happen: for the future Member States, financial integration, similarly to the outcome observed in mature market economies, reduces cyclical volatility both in the short and in the long run. Weak indications are found that this may happen partially due to the anchoring of expectations provided by the EU Accession, and to the more robust institutional framework imposed by this process onto the countries in question.

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Paper provided by Money Macro and Finance Research Group in its series Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 with number 5.

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Date of creation: 17 Sep 2004
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Handle: RePEc:mmf:mmfc04:5
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
  • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
  • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
  • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
  • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
  • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
  • G - Financial Economics

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  1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Ioannis Tokatlidis, 2003. "Financial Liberalisation: The African Experience," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 12(Supplemen), pages 53-88, September.
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  10. Thomas Reininger & Franz Schardax & Martin Summer, 2002. "Financial System Transition in Central Europe: The First Decades," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 16 edited by Morten Balling, November.
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Cited by:

  1. Sergio L. Schmukler & Stijn Claessens, 2007. "International Financial Integration Through Equity Markets; Which Firms from Which Countries Go Global?," IMF Working Papers 07/138, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Lucjan T Orlowski & Anna Tsibulina, 2014. "Integration of Central and Eastern European and the Euro-Area Financial Markets: Repercussions from the Global Financial Crisis," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(3), pages 376-395, September.
  3. de la Torre, Augusto & Gozzi, Juan Carlos & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2007. "Stock market development under globalization : whither the gains from reforms ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4184, The World Bank.
  4. Oleh Havrylyshyn, 2008. "Growth Recovery in CIS Countries: The Sufficient Minimum Threshold of Reforms," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 50(1), pages 53-78, March.
  5. de la Torre, Augusto & Gozzi, Juan Carlos & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2007. "Capital market development : whither Latin America ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4156, The World Bank.
  6. Vinhas de Souza, Lúcio & Schweickert, Rainer & Movchan, Veronika & Bilan, Olena & Burakovsky, Igor, 2005. "Now so near, and yet still so far: economic relations between Ukraine and the European Union," Kiel Discussion Papers 419, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  7. Lúcio Vinhas de Souza, 2009. "Russia's Recent Economic and Reform Performance and Remaining Reform Challenges," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 1-2, pages 207-222.

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