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Testing For Asymmetry In Interest Rate Volatility In The Presence Of A Neglected Level Effect

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  • O.T. Henry
  • S. Suardi

Abstract

Empirical evidence documents a level effect in the volatility of short term rates of interest. That is, volatility is positively correlated with the level of the short term interest rate. Using Monte-Carlo simulations this paper examines the performance of the commonly used Engle-Ng (1993) tests which differentiate the effect of good and bad news on the predictability of future short rate volatility. Our results show that the tests exhibit serious size distortions and loss of power in the face of a neglected level effect.

Suggested Citation

  • O.T. Henry & S. Suardi, 2005. "Testing For Asymmetry In Interest Rate Volatility In The Presence Of A Neglected Level Effect," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 945, The University of Melbourne.
    • Handle: RePEc:mlb:wpaper:945
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    File URL: http://www.economics.unimelb.edu.au/downloads/wpapers-05/945.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sandy Suardi & O.T.Henry & N. Olekalns, "undated". "Equity Return and Short-Term Interest Rate Volatility: Level Effects and Asymmetric Dynamics," MRG Discussion Paper Series 0205, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Level Effects; Asymmetry; Engle-Ng Tests;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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