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The Economic Impact of the Deposit Interest Rate Adjustment Speed

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  • Patrick Gruning

    (Latvijas Banka)

Abstract

During the recent monetary policy tightening cycle, the pass-through of monetary policy to interest rates offered by commercial banks and the size of bank profits have attracted substantial attention. In this study, I explore the economic effects of reducing the adjustment speed of monetary policy changes to deposit interest rates, using a suitable New-Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. A lower deposit interest rate adjustment speed increases macroeconomic volatility but decreases the volatility of the credit spread (except in the case of a very low adjustment speed). Bank net interest income and aggregate consumption typically increase relative to a model where the deposit interest rate perfectly tracks the monetary policy rate, while aggregate output and investment dynamics deteriorate. Introducing a tax on the interest income earned by setting deposit interest rates below the monetary policy rate leads to amplified short- and medium-run macroeconomic costs. However, the tax improves long-run economic dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Gruning, 2025. "The Economic Impact of the Deposit Interest Rate Adjustment Speed," Working Papers 2025/05, Latvijas Banka.
  • Handle: RePEc:ltv:wpaper:202505
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    File URL: https://datnes.latvijasbanka.lv/papers/WP_5_2025_EN.pdf
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies

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