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Entrepreneurial Overconfidence, Self-Financing and Capital Market Efficiency

  • Michele Dell'Era
  • Luis Santos-Pinto

We study the impact of entrepreneurial optimism on self- nancing and capital market efficiency in a setting where entrepreneurs are better informed about the quality of their projects than investors. Projects have either low- or high-quality. Entrepreneurs use self-finance to signal the perceived quality of their projects. Investors observe self-financing decisions and know the fractions of high-quality projects, realistic and optimistic entrepreneurs. We show that entrepreneurial optimism improves capital market efficiency when the returns of high-quality projects have a high variance, entrepreneurs' have high absolute risk aversion, and the gap between the mean returns of high- and low-quality projects is small.

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File URL: http://www.hec.unil.ch/deep/textes/11.06bis.pdf
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Paper provided by Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP in its series Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) with number 11.06.

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Length: 37 pp.
Date of creation: Oct 2011
Date of revision: Nov 2012
Handle: RePEc:lau:crdeep:11.06
Contact details of provider: Postal: Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP, Internef, CH-1015 Lausanne
Phone: ++41 21 692.33.20
Web page: http://www.hec.unil.ch/deep/publications/cahiers/series
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  7. Sanjay Deshmukh & Anand M. Goel & Keith M. Howe, 2009. "CEO overconfidence and dividend policy," Working Paper Series WP-09-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  8. Tobias J. Moskowitz & Annette Vissing-Jørgensen, 2002. "The Returns to Entrepreneurial Investment: A Private Equity Premium Puzzle?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(4), pages 745-778, September.
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  17. Yahel Giat & Steve T. Hackman & Ajay Subramanian, 2010. "Investment under Uncertainty, Heterogeneous Beliefs, and Agency Conflicts," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(4), pages 1360-1404, April.
  18. Erik Hurst & Annamaria Lusardi, 2004. "Liquidity Constraints, Household Wealth, and Entrepreneurship," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(2), pages 319-347, April.
  19. Xavier Freixas & Jean-Charles Rochet, 2008. "Microeconomics of Banking, 2nd Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262062704, June.
  20. Itzhak Ben-David & John R. Graham & Campbell R. Harvey, 2007. "Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies," NBER Working Papers 13711, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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