IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/kyo/wpaper/859.html

Pricing of Discount Bonds with a Markov Switching Regime　

Author

Listed:
  • Robert J. Elliott

    (School of Mathematics, University of Adelaide, Center for Applied Financial Studies, University of South Australia, Haskayne School of Business, University of Calgary)

  • Katsumasa Nishide

    (Department of Economics, Yokohama National University)

Abstract

We consider a Markov switching regime and price a discount bond using two popular models for the short rate, the Vasicek- and CIR-dynamics. In both cases, an explicit formula is obtained for the bond price which includes the solution of a matrix ODE. Our model is easy to calculate and captures the effect of regime uncertainty on the price and the term structure.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert J. Elliott & Katsumasa Nishide, 2013. "Pricing of Discount Bonds with a Markov Switching Regime　," KIER Working Papers 859, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:kyo:wpaper:859
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.kier.kyoto-u.ac.jp/DP/DP859.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Camilla LandÊn, 2000. "Bond pricing in a hidden Markov model of the short rate," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 371-389.
    2. Yoosef Maghsoodi, 1996. "Solution Of The Extended Cir Term Structure And Bond Option Valuation," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(1), pages 89-109, January.
    3. Robert J. Elliott & John van der Hoek, 2001. "Stochastic flows and the forward measure," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 511-525.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. M. Escobar & D. Neykova & R. Zagst, 2017. "HARA utility maximization in a Markov-switching bond–stock market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 1715-1733, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Robert Elliott & Katsumasa Nishide, 2014. "Pricing of discount bonds with a Markov switching regime," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 509-522, August.
    2. Prakash Chakraborty & Kiseop Lee, 2022. "Bond Prices Under Information Asymmetry and a Short Rate with Instantaneous Feedback," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 613-634, June.
    3. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742.
    4. Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2012. "Asset allocation under stochastic interest rate with regime switching," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1126-1136.
    5. Josheski Dushko & Apostolov Mico, 2021. "Equilibrium Short-Rate Models Vs No-Arbitrage Models: Literature Review and Computational Examples," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 25(3), pages 42-71, September.
    6. Rujivan, Sanae & Thamrongrat, Nopporn & Juntanon, Parun & Djehiche, Boualem, 2025. "Analytical computation of conditional moments in the extended Cox–Ingersoll–Ross process with regime switching: Hybrid PDE system solutions with financial applications," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 176-202.
    7. Griselda Deelstra, 2000. "Long-term returns in stochastic interest rate models: applications," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/7590, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    8. Dahl, Mikkel & Moller, Thomas, 2006. "Valuation and hedging of life insurance liabilities with systematic mortality risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 193-217, October.
    9. Michael A. Kouritzin, 2018. "Explicit Heston Solutions And Stochastic Approximation For Path-Dependent Option Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(01), pages 1-45, February.
    10. Jakub Ryłow, 2026. "Topological Methods in Economics: From Equilibrium Existence to Topological Data Analysis," Working Papers 2026-9, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    11. Driffill, John & Sola, Martin & Kenc, Turalay & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2004. "On Model Selection and Markov Switching: A Empirical Examination of Term Structure Models with Regime Shifts," CEPR Discussion Papers 4165, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    12. Filipovic, Damir, 2005. "Time-inhomogeneous affine processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(4), pages 639-659, April.
    13. Zhao, Yixing & Mamon, Rogemar, 2018. "An efficient algorithm for the valuation of a guaranteed annuity option with correlated financial and mortality risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-12.
    14. Guarin, Alexander & Liu, Xiaoquan & Ng, Wing Lon, 2014. "Recovering default risk from CDS spreads with a nonlinear filter," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 87-104.
    15. Fergusson, Kevin, 2020. "Less-Expensive Valuation And Reserving Of Long-Dated Variable Annuities When Interest Rates And Mortality Rates Are Stochastic," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(2), pages 381-417, May.
    16. Qiang Dai & Kenneth J. Singleton & Wei Yang, 2004. "Regime shifts in a dynamic term structure model of U.S. Treasury bond yields," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.
    17. Oscar Lopez & Gerardo E. Oleaga & Alejandra Sanchez, 2019. "Jump-telegraph models for the short rate: pricing and convexity adjustments of zero coupon bonds," Papers 1901.02995, arXiv.org.
    18. Michael S. Johannes & Nicholas G. Polson & Jonathan R. Stroud, 2009. "Optimal Filtering of Jump Diffusions: Extracting Latent States from Asset Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(7), pages 2559-2599, July.
    19. Hyndman, Cody Blaine, 2007. "Forward-backward SDEs and the CIR model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(17), pages 1676-1682, November.
    20. Li, Da-Ye & Nishimura, Yusaku & Men, Ming, 2014. "Fractal markets: Liquidity and investors on different time horizons," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 407(C), pages 144-151.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kyo:wpaper:859. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Makoto Watanabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iekyojp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.