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Asset allocation under stochastic interest rate with regime switching

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  • Shen, Yang
  • Siu, Tak Kuen

Abstract

We investigate an optimal asset allocation problem in a Markovian regime-switching financial market with stochastic interest rate. The market has three investment opportunities, namely, a bank account, a share and a zero-coupon bond, where stochastic movements of the short rate and the share price are governed by a Markovian regime-switching Vasicek model and a Markovian regime-switching Geometric Brownian motion, respectively. We discuss the optimal asset allocation problem using the dynamic programming approach for stochastic optimal control and derive a regime-switching Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation. Particular attention is paid to the exponential utility case. Numerical and sensitivity analysis are provided for this case. The numerical results reveal that regime-switches described by a two-state Markov chain have significant impacts on the optimal investment strategies in the share and the bond. Furthermore, the market prices of risk in both the bond and share markets are crucial factors in determining the optimal investment strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2012. "Asset allocation under stochastic interest rate with regime switching," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1126-1136.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:4:p:1126-1136
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.03.024
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Dong-Mei & Lu, Jiejun & Ching, Wai-Ki & Siu, Tak-Kuen, 2017. "Discrete-time optimal asset allocation under Higher-Order Hidden Markov Model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 223-232.
    2. Jinzhi Li & Haiying Liu, 2015. "Optimal Investment for the Insurers in Markov-Modulated Jump-Diffusion Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 46(1), pages 143-156, June.
    3. Jung-Bin Su, 2020. "The Implementation of Asset Allocation Approaches: Theory and Evidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-28, September.
    4. Yao, Haixiang & Chen, Ping & Li, Xun, 2016. "Multi-period defined contribution pension funds investment management with regime-switching and mortality risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 103-113.
    5. Nicole Bäuerle & Stefanie Grether, 2017. "Extremal Behavior Of Long-Term Investors With Power Utility," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(05), pages 1-13, August.
    6. Chang, Hao, 2015. "Dynamic mean–variance portfolio selection with liability and stochastic interest rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 172-182.
    7. Yao, Haixiang & Li, Zhongfei & Li, Duan, 2016. "Multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection with stochastic interest rate and uncontrollable liability," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(3), pages 837-851.
    8. Nicole Bauerle & Stefanie Grether, 2017. "Extremal Behavior of Long-Term Investors with Power Utility," Papers 1703.04423, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2017.
    9. Zbigniew Palmowski & {L}ukasz Stettner & Anna Sulima, 2018. "Optimal portfolio selection in an It\^o-Markov additive market," Papers 1806.03496, arXiv.org.
    10. Yumo Zhang, 2022. "Dynamic optimal mean-variance portfolio selection with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 511-544, December.
    11. Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2013. "Pricing bond options under a Markovian regime-switching Hull–White model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 933-940.
    12. Andrey Borisov, 2024. "Regime Tracking in Markets with Markov Switching," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-27, January.
    13. Zbigniew Palmowski & Łukasz Stettner & Anna Sulima, 2019. "Optimal Portfolio Selection in an Itô–Markov Additive Market," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-32, March.

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