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The COVID confinement measures and EU labour markets

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Abstract

This paper assesses the potential impact of the early 2020 COVID confinement measures on EU labour markets, on the basis of an analysis of the restrictions on economic activity imposed in three EU Member States (Italy, Spain and Germany). Following the legislative measures adopted, we classify all economic sectors into different categories according to the likely impact of the COVID crisis, and compare the share of employment that is likely to be strongly affected in each country. Once this is done, we apply these categories of sectors to recent data on EU employment and estimate the groups of workers that would be more or less affected by the economic lockdown measures. Finally, we use all this information to speculate about possible mid-term developments and broader socio-economic implications of the COVID crisis in Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Marta Fana & Songul Tolan & Sergio Torrejon Perez & Maria Cesira Urzi Brancati & Enrique Fernandez Macias, 2020. "The COVID confinement measures and EU labour markets," JRC Research Reports JRC120578, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
  • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc120578
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    File URL: https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC120578
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    Cited by:

    1. Anton Pichler & J. Doyne Farmer, 2021. "Simultaneous supply and demand constraints in input-output networks: The case of Covid-19 in Germany, Italy, and Spain," Papers 2101.07818, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    2. Gottlieb, Charles & Grobovšek, Jan & Poschke, Markus & Saltiel, Fernando, 2021. "Working from home in developing countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Pichler, Anton & Pangallo, Marco & del Rio-Chanona, R. Maria & Lafond, François & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2020. "In and out of lockdown: Propagation of supply and demand shocks in a dynamic input-output model," INET Oxford Working Papers 2021-18, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, revised Feb 2021.
    4. Di Novi, C. & Paruolo, P. & Verzillo, S., 2022. "The Role of Employment Protection Legislation Regimes in Shaping the Impact of Job Disruption on Older Workers’ Mental Health in Times of COVID-19," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 22/03, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.
    5. Mikołajczak, Paweł, 2022. "Determinants of precarious employment in social enterprises in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 398-408.
    6. Marta Fana & Sergio Torrejón Pérez & Enrique Fernández-Macías, 2020. "Employment impact of Covid-19 crisis: from short term effects to long terms prospects," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(3), pages 391-410, September.
    7. Sarah Kuypers & Ive Marx & Brian Nolan & Juan C. Palomino, 2022. "Lockdown, Earnings Losses and Household Asset Buffers in Europe," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 68(2), pages 428-470, June.
    8. Nicola Raimo & Pedro-José Martínez-Córdoba & Bernardino Benito & Filippo Vitolla, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Labor Market: An Analysis of Supply and Demand in the Spanish Municipalities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-12, November.
    9. Anton Pichler & Marco Pangallo & R. Maria del Rio-Chanona & Franc{c}ois Lafond & J. Doyne Farmer, 2020. "Production networks and epidemic spreading: How to restart the UK economy?," Papers 2005.10585, arXiv.org.
    10. Anabela Santos, 2021. "Linking the ‘Recovery and Resilience Plan’ and Smart Specialisation. The Portuguese Case," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2021-05, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    11. Christodoulopoulou, Styliani & Kouvavas, Omiros, 2022. "Wages, compositional effects and the business cycle," Working Paper Series 2653, European Central Bank.
    12. Danilo Cavapozzi, 2022. "The causal impact of remote working on depression during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2022 10, Stata Users Group.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Impact of Covid19; COVID lockdown measures; COVID confinement measures; employment impact of COVID; Covid-19;
    All these keywords.

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