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Policy options to support the Agriculture Sector Growth and Transformation Strategy in Kenya: A CGE analysis

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This report provides scientific evidences supporting the new Agriculture Sector Growth and Transformation Strategy in Kenya. A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model specifically modified for the context of Kenya is used to address the impacts of six policy changes. For the purpose of the study, a desegregated version of a 2014 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) has been developed for Kenya. Multi-sectoral analytical tools are used to describe the Kenyan economy and inform about which agri-food value chains have the greatest impact in terms of output, employment and value added. Then, results of simulated policy changes are presented in this report, considering that a more careful analysis at regional and household type levels is required in order to draw robust policy recommendations.

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  • Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar Causape & Jean Balie & Lucia Battaglia, 2018. "Policy options to support the Agriculture Sector Growth and Transformation Strategy in Kenya: A CGE analysis," JRC Research Reports JRC111251, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc111251
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    Cited by:

    1. María Priscila Ramos & Estefanía Custodio & Sofía Jiménez & Alfredo J. Mainar-Causapé & Pierre Boulanger & Emanuele Ferrari, 2022. "Do agri-food market incentives improve food security and nutrition indicators? a microsimulation evaluation for Kenya," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 14(1), pages 209-227, February.
    2. Hounnou, E. Fèmi & Dedehouanou, Houinsou & Zannou, Afio & Aguey, Segnon & Biaou, Gauthier, 2021. "Effects of Agricultural Public Investments on Economic Growth and Households’ Welfare in Benin: An Applied General Equilibrium Analysis," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315002, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Binfield, Julian & Boulanger, Pierre & Davids, Tracy & Dudu, Hasan & Ferrari, Emanuele & Mainar-Causapé, Alfredo, 2022. "Trade liberalisation in Kenya: A modelling linkage for wheat and maize," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(1), March.
    4. Mukashov, A., 2023. "Parameter uncertainty in policy planning models: Using portfolio management methods to choose optimal policies under world market volatility," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 187-202.
    5. Francesco Bandarin & Enrico Ciciotti & Marco Cremaschi & Giovanna Madera & Paolo Perulli & Diana Shendrikova, 2020. "Which Future for Cities after COVID-19 An international Survey," Reports, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, October.
    6. Silas Kiprono SAMOEI & Edwin Kipyego KIPCHOGE, 2020. "Drivers of Horticultural Exports in Kenya," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 4(2), pages 27-44.
    7. Mauro Vigani & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar Causape, 2019. "Estimation of food demand parameters in Kenya. A Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) approach," JRC Research Reports JRC115472, Joint Research Centre.
    8. Pierre Boulanger & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar Causape & Martina Sartori & Mohammed Beshir & Kidanemariam Hailu & Solomon Tsehay, 2019. "Policy Options to support the Rural Job Opportunity Creation Strategy in Ethiopia," JRC Research Reports JRC117916, Joint Research Centre.
    9. Alfredo José Mainar‐Causapé & Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari, 2020. "Policy impact assessment in developing countries using Social Accounting Matrices: The Kenya SAM 2014," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 1128-1149, August.
    10. Charles Peter Mgeni & Klaus Müller & Stefan Sieber, 2019. "Reducing Edible Oil Import Dependency in Tanzania: A Computable General Equilibrium CGE Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-17, August.
    11. Binfield, Julian & Boulanger, Pierre & Davids, Tracy & Dudu, Hasan & Ferrari, Emanuele & Mainar-Causape, Alfredo & Meyer, Ferdi, 2019. "Enhancing CGE analysis with PE modelling of Kenyan agricultural and trade policy reforms," 2019 Sixth International Conference, September 23-26, 2019, Abuja, Nigeria 295839, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    12. Nicolò Golinucci & Nicolò Stevanato & Federica Inzoli & Mohammad Amin Tahavori & Negar Namazifard & Lamya Hussain & Benedetta Camilli & Matteo Vincenzo Rocco & Emanuela Colombo, 2020. "Comprehensive and Integrated Impact Assessment Framework for Development Policies Evaluation: Definition and Application To Kenya," Reports, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, November.
    13. Nicolò Golinucci & Nicolò Stevanato & Negar Namazifard & Mohammad Amin Tahavori & Lamya Adil Sulliman Hussain & Benedetta Camilli & Federica Inzoli & Matteo Vincenzo Rocco & Emanuela Colombo, 2022. "Comprehensive and Integrated Impact Assessment Framework for Development Policies Evaluation: Definition and Application to Kenyan Coffee Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CGE; Kenya; Agricultural policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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