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Should Unconventional Monetary Policies Become Conventional?

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  • Mr. Dominic Quint
  • Mr. Pau Rabanal

Abstract

The large recession that followed the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09 triggered unprecedented monetary policy easing around the world. Most central banks in advanced economies deployed new instruments to affect credit conditions and to provide liquidity at a large scale after shortterm policy rates reached their effective lower bound. In this paper, we study if this new set of tools, commonly labeled as unconventional monetary policies (UMP), should still be used when economic conditions and interest rates normalize. In particular, we study the optimality of asset purchase programs by using an estimated non-linear DSGE model with a banking sector and long-term private and public debt for the United States. We find that the benefits of using such UMP in normal times are substantial, equivalent to 1.45 percent of consumption. However, the benefits from using UMP are shock-dependent and mostly arise when the economy is hit by financial shocks. When more traditional business cycle shocks (such as supply and demand shocks) hit the economy, the benefits of using UMP are negligible or zero.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Dominic Quint & Mr. Pau Rabanal, 2017. "Should Unconventional Monetary Policies Become Conventional?," IMF Working Papers 2017/085, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/085
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    Cited by:

    1. Burlon, L. & Gerali, A. & Notarpietro, A. & Pisani, M., 2018. "Non-standard monetary policy, asset prices and macroprudential policy in a monetary union," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 25-53.
    2. Mattia Guerini & Francesco Lamperti & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Tania Treibich, 2022. "Unconventional monetary policies in an agent-based model with mark-to-market standards," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 73-107, April.
    3. Christian Pfister & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policies: A stock-taking exercise," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 130(2), pages 137-169.
    4. Robert Kurtzman & David Zeke, 2020. "Misallocation Costs of Digging Deeper into the Central Bank Toolkit," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 94-126, October.
    5. Tohid Atashbar, 2019. "A Blueprint For Creating A "Non-Conventional Unconventional" Monetary System And Arrangement," Studies in Applied Economics 141, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
    6. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
    7. Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Johann Scharler, 2021. "Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(3), pages 337-383, September.
    8. Tristani, Oreste & De Fiore, Fiorella, 2019. "(Un)conventional policy and the effective lower bound," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
    9. Lyu, Juyi & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "UK monetary policy in an estimated DSGE model with financial frictions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    10. Aref Mahdavi Ardekani & Isabelle Distinguin & Amine Tarazi, 2019. "Interbank network characteristics, monetary policy "News" and sensitivity of bank stock returns," Working Papers hal-02384533, HAL.
    11. Brand, Claus & Bielecki, Marcin & Penalver, Adrian, 2018. "The natural rate of interest: estimates, drivers, and challenges to monetary policy JEL Classification: E52, E43," Occasional Paper Series 217, European Central Bank.
    12. Francisco Gomes Pereira, 2023. "Balance Sheet Expansionary Policies in the Euro Area: Macroeconomic Impacts and a Vulnerable versus Non-Vulnerable Comparison - A Bayesian Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers REM 2023/0259, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    13. Shifu Jiang, 2017. "The Ramsey Cooperative and Non-Cooperative Unconventional Monetary Policy," FIW Working Paper series 180, FIW.
    14. Anna Bartocci & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2019. "Non-standard monetary policy measures in the new normal," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1251, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    15. Anna Bartocci & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2023. "Non‐standard monetary policy measures in non‐normal times," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 19-35, April.
    16. Richard Harrison, 2017. "Optimal quantitative easing," Bank of England working papers 678, Bank of England.
    17. Lyu, Juyi & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2021. "Macroprudential regulation in the post-crisis era: Has the pendulum swung too far?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    18. Richard Harrison, 2024. "Optimal quantitative easing and tightening," Bank of England working papers 1063, Bank of England.

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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