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Revision der IAB-Arbeitszeitrechnung 2014 : Grundlagen, methodische Weiterentwicklungen sowie ausgewählte Ergebnisse im Rahmen der Revision der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen

Author

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  • Wanger, Susanne

    () (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany])

  • Weigand, Roland

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany])

  • Zapf, Ines

    () (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany])

Abstract

"This report documents reasons, methods and results of the general revision 2014 of the IAB working-time measurement concept (AZR) for the period from 1991 to 2013. The AZR which is part of the German system of national accounts (VGR) provides long comparable time series for industry-specific hours worked and the volume of work for Germany. Since the concepts and definitions of the VGR are also binding for the AZR, the 2014 general revision of the VGR leads to changes regarding the concepts, methods and resulting time series. In this context, we also take this as an occasion to revise and update statistical methods and data sources of the AZR in its whole. A key part of the methodological changes is due to the introduction of modern techniques of time series analysis. By multivariate structural time series models embedded in a state space framework, all available information can be exploited timely and efficiently for estimating the different components of hours worked. In this context a new approach is proposed which makes the use of a multiplicity of relevant time series for structural time series models feasible by principal components methods. This would otherwise be possible with a high computational cost only. In the following, we present the base concept of the AZR, and outly the changes of the revision of the VGR as well as its impact on the AZR. We describe the foundation of the estimation methods and discuss methodological developments as well as estimates for the respective components of hours worked. A subsequent section depicts the most relevant results of the revision for the period from 1991 to 2013 and compares results before and after the revision." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Wanger, Susanne & Weigand, Roland & Zapf, Ines, 2014. "Revision der IAB-Arbeitszeitrechnung 2014 : Grundlagen, methodische Weiterentwicklungen sowie ausgewählte Ergebnisse im Rahmen der Revision der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen," IAB-Forschungsbericht 201409, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
  • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabfob:201409
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    File URL: http://doku.iab.de/forschungsbericht/2014/fb0914.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bräuning, Falk & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2014. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables using collapsed dynamic factor analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 572-584.
    2. Gerhard Runstler, 2004. "Modelling phase shifts among stochastic cycles," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(1), pages 232-248, June.
    3. Durbin, James & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2012. "Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 2, number 9780199641178.
    4. Pfeffermann, Danny & Tiller, Richard, 2006. "Small-Area Estimation With StateSpace Models Subject to Benchmark Constraints," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 1387-1397, December.
    5. Andrew Harvey & Chia‐Hui Chung, 2000. "Estimating the underlying change in unemployment in the UK," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 163(3), pages 303-309.
    6. Susanne Wanger, 2013. "Arbeitszeit und Arbeitsvolumen in Deutschland – Methodische Grundlagen und Ergebnisse der Arbeitszeitrechnung," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 7(1), pages 31-69, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Raddatz, Guido, 2015. "Mehr Arbeit wagen," Argumente zur Marktwirtschaft und Politik 129, Stiftung Marktwirtschaft / The Market Economy Foundation, Berlin.
    2. Susanne Wanger & Roland Weigand & Ines Zapf, 2016. "Measuring hours worked in Germany – Contents, data and methodological essentials of the IAB working time measurement concept
      [Die Berechnung der geleisteten Arbeitsstunden in Deutschland – Inhalte,
      ," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 49(3), pages 213-238, November.
    3. Wanger, Susanne & Weigand, Roland & Zapf, Ines, 2016. "Measuring hours worked in Germany : contents, data and methodological essentials of the IAB working time measurement concept (Die Berechnung der geleisteten Arbeitsstunden in Deutschland : Inhalte, Da," Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 49(3), pages 213-238.
    4. Seele, Stefanie & Burda, Michael, 2016. "No Role for the Hartz Reforms? Demand and Supply Factors in the German Labor Market, 1993-2014," Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145650, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Evers, Katalin & Schleinkofer, Michael, 2015. "Der Gründungszuschuss vor und nach der Reform : same, but different: Ein Vergleich der Teilnehmerstrukturen," IAB-Forschungsbericht 201505, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

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    Keywords

    Arbeitszeit; volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung; Arbeitszeitentwicklung; Arbeitsvolumen; Schätzung; Datengewinnung; Konjunkturabhängigkeit;

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