IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hit/cisdps/547.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Does a Bad Start Lead to a Bad Finish in Japan?

Author

Listed:
  • Takayama, Noriyuki
  • Shiraishi, Kousuke

Abstract

There has been a growing concern about “Bad Start, Bad Finish (BS/BF)” issues in European countries for the last decade. Many young persons make a bad start to their working career and remain as atypical workers for long periods, being anticipated to reach retirement age with inadequate social security pension benefits. What about the case of Japan? In this paper, we discuss whether the BS/BF problem is as serious in Japan. The data set used is the 2011 Longitudinal Survey on Employment and Fertility (LOSEF): An Internet Version. The survey represents a sample of 3893 individuals aged 30-49 (born between November 1961 and October 1981). It contains long-term retrospective panel data of around 160,000 observations transcribed from the special Social Security Statements (the Japanese version of “Orange Letter”) issued by the Social Insurance Agency in fiscal 2009. Our provisional findings in this paper confirm that the BS/BF issue is currently as serious in Japan as in European countries. For young workers of the current generation, the proportions of BS have been increasing up to around 40% (females) and 32% (males) respectively, and the BF risk for current young BS persons will be around 90% (females) and a little more than 50% (males) respectively. Their incidence of poverty after retirement is likely to become quite problematic.

Suggested Citation

  • Takayama, Noriyuki & Shiraishi, Kousuke, 2012. "Does a Bad Start Lead to a Bad Finish in Japan?," CIS Discussion paper series 547, Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
  • Handle: RePEc:hit:cisdps:547
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hermes-ir.lib.hit-u.ac.jp/rs/bitstream/10086/22880/1/cis_dp547.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hamaaki, Junya & Hori, Masahiro & Maeda, Saeko & Murata, Keiko, 2013. "How does the first job matter for an individual’s career life in Japan?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 154-169.
    2. Takayama, Noriyuki, 2005. "Pension Reform in Japan," Discussion Paper 253, Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    3. Boeri, Tito & Galasso, Vincenzo, 2010. "Is Social Security Secure with NDC?," IZA Discussion Papers 5235, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Reiko Aoki, 2013. "A Demographic Perspective on Japan's “Lost Decades”," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 38, pages 103-112, February.
    2. Piotr Lewandowski & Jakub Sawulski & Kamil Stronski, 2016. "Labour market segmentation and the financial situation of the pension system in Poland," IBS Working Papers 10/2016, Instytut Badan Strukturalnych.
    3. Fujii, Mayu & Shiraishi, Kousuke & Takayama, Noriyuki, 2013. "The Determinants and Effects of Early Job Separation in Japan," CIS Discussion paper series 590, Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    4. Takayama, Noriyuki, 2013. "Closing the Gap between the Retirement Age and the Normal Pensionable Age in Japan," CIS Discussion paper series 583, Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hit:cisdps:547. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Digital Resources Section, Hitotsubashi University Library). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/cihitjp.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.