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Gas versus oil prices. The impact of shale gas


  • Asche, Frank

    () (UiS)

  • Ogland, Atle

    () (UiS)

  • Osmundsen, Petter

    () (UiS)


What significance will developments in shale gas production have for European gas prices? Some commentators paint a gloomy picture of the future gas markets. But most forecasts for the oil market are positive. Consequently, a view appears to prevail that price trends will differ sharply between oil and gas markets. This article looks at developments in US shale gas production and discusses their impact on the movement of European gas prices. The relationship between oil and gas prices over time is also analysed.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

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  • Asche, Frank & Ogland, Atle & Osmundsen, Petter, 2011. "Gas versus oil prices. The impact of shale gas," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2011/6, University of Stavanger.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:stavef:2011_006

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    1. Baranzelli, Claudia & Vandecasteele, Ine & Ribeiro Barranco, Ricardo & Mari i Rivero, Ines & Pelletier, Nathan & Batelaan, Okke & Lavalle, Carlo, 2015. "Scenarios for shale gas development and their related land use impacts in the Baltic Basin, Northern Poland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 80-95.
    2. repec:eee:appene:v:195:y:2017:i:c:p:800-809 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Jakub Boratyński, 2015. "Ekonomiczne skutki eksploatacji gazu łupkowego," Gospodarka Narodowa, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 55-82.
    4. Misund, Bård & Oglend, Atle, 2016. "Supply and demand determinants of natural gas price volatility in the U.K.: A vector autoregression approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 178-189.
    5. Turgut Bayramoğlu & Yilmaz Onur Ari̇, 2015. "The Advantages And Disadvantages Of The Production Of Shale Gas Potential: The Case Of Turkey," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, vol. 3(2), pages 4-11, November.
    6. Schultz, Emma & Swieringa, John, 2013. "Price discovery in European natural gas markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 628-634.
    7. Wakamatsu, Hiroki & Aruga, Kentaka, 2013. "The impact of the shale gas revolution on the U.S. and Japanese natural gas markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1002-1009.
    8. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2016. "The impact of the North American shale gas revolution on regional natural gas markets: Evidence from the regime-switching model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 167-178.
    9. Jadidzadeh, Ali & Serletis, Apostolos, 2017. "How does the U.S. natural gas market react to demand and supply shocks in the crude oil market?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 66-74.
    10. Bianco, Vincenzo & Scarpa, Federico & Tagliafico, Luca A., 2014. "Scenario analysis of nonresidential natural gas consumption in Italy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 392-403.
    11. Ochieng, E.G. & Melaine, Y. & Potts, S.J. & Zuofa, T. & Egbu, C.O. & Price, A.D.F. & Ruan, X., 2014. "Future for offshore wind energy in the United Kingdom: The way forward," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 655-666.
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    13. BÃ¥rd Misund & Petter Osmundsen, 2015. "Probable Oil and Gas Reserves and Shareholder Returns: The Impact of Shale Gas," CESifo Working Paper Series 5687, CESifo Group Munich.
    14. Devlin, Joseph & Li, Kang & Higgins, Paraic & Foley, Aoife, 2017. "Gas generation and wind power: A review of unlikely allies in the United Kingdom and Ireland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 757-768.
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    16. Oglend, Atle & Kleppe, Tore Selland & Osmundsen, Petter, 2016. "Trade with endogenous transportation costs: The case of liquefied natural gas," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 138-148.
    17. Cotton, Matthew & Rattle, Imogen & Van Alstine, James, 2014. "Shale gas policy in the United Kingdom: An argumentative discourse analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 427-438.
    18. Potts, Todd B. & Yerger, David B., 2016. "Marcellus Shale and structural breaks in oil and gas markets: The case of Pennsylvania," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 50-58.
    19. Gracceva, Francesco & Zeniewski, Peter, 2013. "Exploring the uncertainty around potential shale gas development – A global energy system analysis based on TIAM (TIMES Integrated Assessment Model)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 443-457.
    20. repec:eee:enepol:v:109:y:2017:i:c:p:676-684 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Janda, Karel & Kourilek, Jakub, 2016. "Description of Biofuels and Shale Gas Development," MPRA Paper 74885, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Min, Daiki & Chung, Jaewoo, 2013. "Evaluation of the long-term power generation mix: The case study of South Korea's energy policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1544-1552.
    23. Auping, Willem L. & Pruyt, Erik & de Jong, Sijbren & Kwakkel, Jan H., 2016. "The geopolitical impact of the shale revolution: Exploring consequences on energy prices and rentier states," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 390-399.
    24. Wang, Qiang & Chen, Xi & Jha, Awadhesh N. & Rogers, Howard, 2014. "Natural gas from shale formation – The evolution, evidences and challenges of shale gas revolution in United States," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 1-28.
    25. Liu, Ming-Lei & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2013. "How does oil market uncertainty interact with other markets? An empirical analysis of implied volatility index," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 860-868.

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    JEL classification:

    • A10 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - General

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