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Indeterminacy and Sunspots in Two-Sector RBC Models with Generalized No-Income-Effect Preferences

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  • Frédéric Dufourt

    () (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - ECM - Ecole Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales, IUF - Institut Universitaire de France - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Éducation nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche)

  • Kazuo Nishimura

    (KIER, Kyoto University - Kyoto University [Kyoto], RIEB, Kobe University - Kobe University)

  • Alain Venditti

    () (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - ECM - Ecole Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales, EDHEC - EDHEC Business School)

Abstract

We analyze sunspot-driven fluctuations in the standard two-sector RBC model with moderate increasing returns to scale and generalized no-income-effect preferences à la Greenwood, Hercovitz and Huffman [13]. We provide a detailed theoretical analysis enabling us to derive relevant bifurcation loci and to characterize the steady-state local stability properties as a function of various structural parameters. We show that local indeterminacy occurs through flip and Hopf bifurcations for a large set of values for the elasticity of intertemporal substitution in consumption, provided that the labor supply is sufficiently inelastic. Finally, we provide a detailed quantitative analysis of the model. Computing, on a quarterly basis, a new set of empirical moments related to two broadly defined consumption and investment sectors, we are able to identify, among the set of admissible calibrations consistent with sunspot equilibria, the ones that provide the best fit of the data. The model properly calibrated solves several empirical puzzles traditionally associated with two-sector RBC models.

Suggested Citation

  • Frédéric Dufourt & Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti, 2015. "Indeterminacy and Sunspots in Two-Sector RBC Models with Generalized No-Income-Effect Preferences," Working Papers halshs-01131411, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-01131411
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01131411
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guo, Jang-Ting & Harrison, Sharon G., 2010. "Indeterminacy with no-income-effect preferences and sector-specific externalities," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 287-300, January.
    2. Benhabib, Jess & Nishimura, Kazuo, 1998. "Indeterminacy and Sunspots with Constant Returns," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 58-96, July.
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    6. Benhabib, Jess & Farmer, Roger E. A., 1996. "Indeterminacy and sector-specific externalities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 421-443, June.
    7. Jean-Philippe Garnier & Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti, 2007. "Intertemporal substitution in consumption, labor supply elasticity and sunspot fluctuations in continuous-time models," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 3(4), pages 235-259.
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    14. Sharon G. Harrison, 2003. "Returns to Scale and Externalities in the Consumption and Investment Sectors," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(4), pages 963-976, October.
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    16. Nishimura, Kazuo & Venditti, Alain, 2010. "Indeterminacy and expectation-driven fluctuations with non-separable preferences," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 46-56, July.
    17. Harrison, Sharon G., 2001. "Indeterminacy in a model with sector-specific externalities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 747-764, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Frédéric Dufourt & Kazuo Nishimura & Carine Nourry & Alain Venditti, 2015. "Sunspot Fluctuations in Two-Sector Models with Variable Income Effects," Working Papers halshs-01269951, HAL.
    2. Frédéric Dufourt & Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti, 2016. "Sunspot fluctuations in two-sector models: New results with additively separable preferences," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 12(1), pages 67-83, March.
    3. Dufourt, Frédéric & Venditti, Alain & Vivès, Rémi, 2018. "On sunspot fluctuations in variable capacity utilization models," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 80-94.
    4. Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "Regime-Switching Sunspot Equilibria in a One-Sector Growth Model with Aggregate Decreasing Returns and Small Externalities," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-42, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    5. Yoichi Gokan, 2017. "Do Consumption Externalities Correspond to the Indivisible Tax Rates on Consumpiton?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1040, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    6. Yoichi Gokan, 2017. "Do Consumption Externalities Correspond to the Indivisible Tax Rates on Consumpiton?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1040, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    real business cycles cycles; indeterminacy; sector-specific externalities; two-sector model; sunspots;

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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