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Who will control the electric vehicle market

Author

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  • Bruno Jetin

    (CEPN - Centre d'Economie de l'Université Paris Nord - UP13 - Université Paris 13 - USPC - Université Sorbonne Paris Cité - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The second automobile revolution, the age of electrification and digitalisation, is on its way. It is a gradual transition and not a sudden break. However, millions of electric vehicles (EVs) are now being sold, and the EV market is becoming a mass market propelled by economies of scale. It is reflected in the drop in the cost of batteries which will bring the price of EVs on a par with the price of conventional vehicles in the coming decade. Nonetheless, two interrelated issues have been underestimated and will now decide who will play a dominant role and benefit the most from the EV market. The first is the relative scarcity of raw materials from which batteries are made. The second is that the primary EV market is China which gives its companies a strategic advantage for the supply of critical metals and the large-scale production of batteries. Our research analyses the fundamental role of natural resources for the control of the EV market and the response of governments to ensure access to them. We show the importance of industrial and diplomatic policies in a context of geostrategic rivalries of large powers.

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  • Bruno Jetin, 2019. "Who will control the electric vehicle market," Post-Print halshs-03193666, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-03193666
    DOI: 10.1504/ijatm.2020.108584
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03193666
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    Cited by:

    1. Bruno Jetin, 2021. "Trade linkages and supply chains of Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) and vaccines in ASEAN during the COVID-19 pandemic," Post-Print hal-03471905, HAL.
    2. Petr Pavlínek, 2023. "Transition of the automotive industry towards electric vehicle production in the east European integrated periphery," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(1), pages 35-73, February.
    3. Charles Lincoln Kenji Yamamura & Harmi Takiya & Cláudia Aparecida Soares Machado & José Carlos Curvelo Santana & José Alberto Quintanilha & Fernando Tobal Berssaneti, 2022. "Electric Cars in Brazil: An Analysis of Core Green Technologies and the Transition Process," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-19, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    electric vehicle; battery electric vehicle; lithium-ion battery; materials; battery makers; carmakers;
    All these keywords.

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