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Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Europe team

Author

Listed:
  • Anyu Liu

    (UNIS - University of Surrey)

  • Laura Vici

    (UNIBO - Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna = University of Bologna [Bologne])

  • Vicente Ramos

    (UIB - Universitat de les Illes Balears = Universidad de las Islas Baleares = University of the Balearic Islands)

  • Sauveur Giannoni

    (Università di Corsica Pasquale Paoli [Université de Corse Pascal Paoli], LISA - Laboratoire « Lieux, Identités, eSpaces, Activités » (UMR CNRS 6240 LISA) - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Università di Corsica Pasquale Paoli [Université de Corse Pascal Paoli])

  • Adam Blake

    (BU - Bournemouth University [Poole])

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Anyu Liu & Laura Vici & Vicente Ramos & Sauveur Giannoni & Adam Blake, 2021. "Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Europe team," Post-Print hal-04653783, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04653783
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2021.103182
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04653783v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bianchi, Constanza & Milberg, Sandra & Cúneo, Andres, 2017. "Understanding travelers' intentions to visit a short versus long-haul emerging vacation destination: The case of Chile," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 312-324.
    2. Valeria Croce & Karl W. Wöber, 2011. "Judgemental Forecasting Support Systems in Tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(4), pages 709-724, August.
    3. Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Song, Haiyan & Wu, Doris C., 2011. "The tourism forecasting competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 822-844, July.
    4. Lawrence, Michael & Goodwin, Paul & O'Connor, Marcus & Onkal, Dilek, 2006. "Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 493-518.
    5. Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465.
    6. Lin, Vera Shanshan & Goodwin, Paul & Song, Haiyan, 2014. "Accuracy and bias of experts’ adjusted forecasts," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 156-174.
    7. Hyndman, Rob J. & Koehler, Anne B., 2006. "Another look at measures of forecast accuracy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 679-688.
    8. Fildes, Robert & Goodwin, Paul & Lawrence, Michael & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2009. "Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 3-23.
    9. Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2019. "Combining expert‐adjusted forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 415-421, August.
    10. Vera Shanshan Lin & Haiyan Song, 2015. "A review of Delphi forecasting research in tourism," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(12), pages 1099-1131, December.
    11. Önkal, Dilek & Sayım, Kadire Zeynep & Gönül, Mustafa Sinan, 2013. "Scenarios as channels of forecast advice," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(4), pages 772-788.
    12. Li, Gang & Wu, Doris Chenguang & Zhou, Menglin & Liu, Anyu, 2019. "The combination of interval forecasts in tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 363-378.
    13. Song, Haiyan & Li, Gang & Witt, Stephen F. & Athanasopoulos, George, 2011. "Forecasting tourist arrivals using time-varying parameter structural time series models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 855-869.
    14. Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah & Li, ShiNa & Song, Haiyan, 2020. "Social costs of tourism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    15. Wright, George & Goodwin, Paul, 2009. "Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 813-825, October.
    16. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Hongru & Chen, Xiang, 2020. "Coronavirus pandemic and tourism: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium modeling of infectious disease outbreak," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Maria Giovanna Brandano & Alessandra Faggian & Adriana C Pinate, 2024. "The impact of COVID-19 on the tourism sector in Italy: A regional spatial perspective," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(8), pages 2181-2202, December.

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