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Backward- versus Forward-Looking Feedback Interest Rate Rules

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  • Hippolyte d'Albis

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Emmanuelle Augeraud-Véron

    (MIA - Mathématiques, Image et Applications - EA 3165 - ULR - La Rochelle Université)

  • Hermen Jan Hupkes

    (Mizzou - University of Missouri [Columbia] - University of Missouri System)

Abstract

This paper proposes conditions for the existence and uniqueness of solutions to systems of differential equations with delays or advances in which some variables are non-predetermined. An application to the issue of optimal interest rate policy is then develop in a flexible-price model where money enters the utility function. Central banks have the choice between a rule that depends on past inflation rates or one that depends on predicted interest rates. When inflation rates are selected over a bounded time interval, the problem is characterized by a system of delay or advanced differential equations. We then prove that if the central bank's forecast horizon is not too long, an active and forward-looking monetary policy is not too destabilizing : the equilibrium trajectory is unique and monotonic.

Suggested Citation

  • Hippolyte d'Albis & Emmanuelle Augeraud-Véron & Hermen Jan Hupkes, 2012. "Backward- versus Forward-Looking Feedback Interest Rate Rules," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00721289, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00721289
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00721289
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest rate rules; indeterminacy; functionnal differential equations; Règles de taux d'intérêt; indétermination; équations différentielles fonctionnelles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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