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Projections for World CGE Model Baselines

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  • Chappuis, Thomas
  • Terrie Walmsley

Abstract

While constructing a new baseline for the GDyn model, we spent a lot of time collecting projections and deciding which data to choose. We also developed programs to aggregate projections to any specific geographical aggregation of the GTAP Data Base. In order to help researchers in the construction of their own baselines, we created a baseline section1 on the GTAP website where GTAP users can find the projections data and programs. The purpose of this paper is to document the data used in our new GDyn baseline and to provide a user guide of the baseline website. Our view is that sharing data and expertise with researchers working on baselines will help create reliable and defendable baseline scenarios. The second annex documents the aggregation programs from the 112 GTAP 7.1 regions to a specific geographical aggregation.

Suggested Citation

  • Chappuis, Thomas & Terrie Walmsley, 2011. "Projections for World CGE Model Baselines," GTAP Research Memoranda 3728, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    • Handle: RePEc:gta:resmem:3728
    Note: GTAP Research Memorandum No. 22
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    File URL: https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=3728
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Walmsley, Terrie & Ahmed, Syud Amer & Parsons, Christopher, 2005. "A Global Bilateral Migration Data Base: Skilled Labor, Wages and Remittances," GTAP Research Memoranda 1880, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    5. Samir KC & Wolfgang Lutz & Warren C. Sanderson & Anne Goujon & Vegard Skirbekk & Bilal Barakat, 2010. "Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 22(15), pages 383-472.
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