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Exploration of model performances in the presence of heterogeneous preferences and random effects utilities awareness

Author

Listed:
  • Gusarov, N.
  • Talebijmalabad, A.
  • Joly, I.

Abstract

This work is a cross-disciplinary study of econometrics and machine learning (ML) models applied to consumer choice preference modelling. To bridge the interdisciplinary gap, a simulation and theorytesting framework is proposed. It incorporates all essential steps from hypothetical setting generation to the comparison of various performance metrics. The flexibility of the framework in theory-testing and models comparison over economics and statistical indicators is illustrated based on the work of Michaud, Llerena and Joly (2012). Two datasets are generated using the predefined utility functions simulating the presence of homogeneous and heterogeneous individual preferences for alternatives’ attributes. Then, three models issued from econometrics and ML disciplines are estimated and compared. The study demonstrates the proposed methodological approach’s efficiency, successfully capturing the differences between the models issued from different fields given the homogeneous or heterogeneous consumer preferences.

Suggested Citation

  • Gusarov, N. & Talebijmalabad, A. & Joly, I., 2020. "Exploration of model performances in the presence of heterogeneous preferences and random effects utilities awareness," Working Papers 2020-12, Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory (GAEL).
  • Handle: RePEc:gbl:wpaper:2020-12
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    File URL: https://gael.univ-grenoble-alpes.fr/sites/gael/files/doc-recherche/WP/A2020/gael2020-12.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Celine Michaud & Daniel Llerena & Iragael Joly, 2013. "Willingness to pay for environmental attributes of non-food agricultural products: a real choice experiment," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 40(2), pages 313-329, March.
    2. Louviere,Jordan J. & Hensher,David A. & Swait,Joffre D. With contributions by-Name:Adamowicz,Wiktor, 2000. "Stated Choice Methods," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521788304.
    3. McFadden, Daniel, 1974. "The measurement of urban travel demand," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 303-328, November.
    4. Sendhil Mullainathan & Jann Spiess, 2017. "Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 87-106, Spring.
    5. Scholz, Michael & Dorner, Verena & Franz, Markus & Hinz, Oliver, 2015. "Measuring Consumers' Willingness-to-Pay with Utility-based Recommendation Systems Decision Support Systems," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 77134, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    6. Hess, Stephane & Rose, John M. & Hensher, David A., 2008. "Asymmetric preference formation in willingness to pay estimates in discrete choice models," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 847-863, September.
    7. Hal R. Varian, 2014. "Big Data: New Tricks for Econometrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 28(2), pages 3-28, Spring.
    8. Danaf, Mazen & Atasoy, Bilge & Ben-Akiva, Moshe, 2020. "Logit mixture with inter and intra-consumer heterogeneity and flexible mixing distributions," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS; NEURAL NETWORK; PERFORMANCE COMPARISON; HETEREGENEOUS PREFERENCES;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General
    • C90 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - General

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