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Geopolitical Risk and Corporate Behaviors: Propagation of shocks through global operations

Author

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  • Huu Nhan DUONG
  • Jota ISHIKAWA
  • Katsumasa NISHIDE
  • S. Ghon RHEE

Abstract

This study examines the impact of geopolitical risk (hereafter GPR) on the behavior of multinational manufacturing firms from Japan. We construct firm-level exposures to GPR indices using data on foreign direct investment and international trade. We find that only large firms respond to GPR, whereas small firms exhibit no significant reaction. Furthermore, the effect of GPR on accounting-based decisions, such as cash holdings and investment, varies depending on firms’ modes of internationalization. In particular, the results indicate that firms exposed to GPR through FDI reduce asset-side variables, such as cash holdings and capital expenditures.

Suggested Citation

  • Huu Nhan DUONG & Jota ISHIKAWA & Katsumasa NISHIDE & S. Ghon RHEE, 2025. "Geopolitical Risk and Corporate Behaviors: Propagation of shocks through global operations," Discussion papers 25029, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    • Handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:25029
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Thi Thanh Ha DOAN & Asei ITO & Changyuan LUO & Hongyong ZHANG, 2025. "Geopolitical Risk and Supply Chain Diversification: Evidence from Japanese multinational firms," Discussion papers 25112, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

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