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Future expectations amongst young people in the United Kingdom: prevalence and patterns across generations and socioeconomic groups

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  • W. O'Donnell, Alexander
  • Wake, Alexandra

Abstract

Using UKHLS Youth Module data, we examined 16-year-olds’ future expectations with latent profile analysis. Most young people anticipated higher education, marriage, and children, while a “Career-Focused†group prioritised education and employment over family. The smallest group (~6%) held low expectations for study, work, and parenthood, and anticipated unemployment. Every £100 increase in equivalised weekly household income raised the odds of belonging to the most aspirational class by 5% versus the low-expectations group. Longitudinally, the lowexpectations group had lowest education, prolonged unemployment, and highest parenthood before 21. Understanding these distinct profiles provides insights to support adolescents transitioning to adulthood.

Suggested Citation

  • W. O'Donnell, Alexander & Wake, Alexandra, 2025. "Future expectations amongst young people in the United Kingdom: prevalence and patterns across generations and socioeconomic groups," ISER Working Paper Series 2025-04, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:ese:iserwp:2025-04
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    References listed on IDEAS

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