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Libre échange et migration marocaine: Une approche par l'équilibre général calculable

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed Bouzahzah
  • Abid Ihadiyan

Abstract

Cet article développe un modèle d'équilibre général calculable statique intégrant les principales hypothèses de la nouvelle théorie du commerce international: rendements croissants et différenciation des produits. Le modèle comportant neuf secteurs de l'économie marocaine, analyse les effets macro-économiques et en matière d'émigration de la constitution d'une zone de libre-échange entre le Maroc et l'Europe. Les résultats montrent que, dans les conditions actuelles de compétitivité de l'économie marocaine, le libre échange induirait une forte dépression industrielle et un déficit extérieur croissant. Il s'ensuivrait une chute de l'emploi particulièrement dans l'industrie. Par conséquent, les flux migratoires marocains se maintiendront et s'amplifieront en direction de l'Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed Bouzahzah & Abid Ihadiyan, 2000. "Libre échange et migration marocaine: Une approche par l'équilibre général calculable," Working Papers 2027, Economic Research Forum, revised 09 2000.
    • Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:2027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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