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Total Public Debt Sustainability: Empirical Assessment of the Solvency Issue in the Case of the Kyrgyz Republic

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  • Moldokanov Daniiar

Abstract

The paper analyses the total public debt of the Kyrgyz Republic in terms of solvency criterion. The recent development of total public debt to GDP ratios, as well as sharp increase of fiscal deficit, increases the attention of international investors to the issue of total public debt sustainability of the Kyrgyz Republic. Different methodologies in order to assess whether the country satisfies solvency criterion of the sustainability was implemented including the debt stabilizing primary balance over/under-borrowing test and the stress test. The main finding of the paper is that the total public debt to GDP ratio in the Kyrgyz Republic is under the moderate risk of debt distress.

Suggested Citation

  • Moldokanov Daniiar, 2016. "Total Public Debt Sustainability: Empirical Assessment of the Solvency Issue in the Case of the Kyrgyz Republic," EERC Working Paper Series 16/04e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    • Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:16/04e
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Adrian Penalver & Gregory Thwaites, 2006. "Fiscal rules for debt sustainability in emerging markets: the impact of volatility and default risk," Bank of England working papers 307, Bank of England.
    4. Bernd Raffelhuschen & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1999. "Generational Accounting around the Globe," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 161-166, May.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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