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High Inflation, Volatility and Total Factor Productivity


  • Nelson Ramírez / Juan Aquino


Este trabajo intenta evaluar empíricamente la relación entre altos niveles de inflación (definida como la inflación mayor de dos dígitos), volatilidad de la inflación (definida como la desviación estándar de la inflación) y el crecimiento de la productividad total de los factores (TFP). Utilizando la metodología de estimación de método generalizado de momentos (GMM) desarrollado por Arellano y Bond (1991) y extendido por Arellano y Bover (1995) en un contexto de datos de panel dinámico, para el período de 1960 a 2000 y para dieciocho países de América Latina, encontramos una relación negativa entre altos niveles de inflación con el crecimiento de la TFP, y entre la volatilidad de la inflación con el crecimiento de la TFP, mientras que no encontramos una relación entre bajos niveles de inflación y el crecimiento de la TFP.

Suggested Citation

  • Nelson Ramírez / Juan Aquino, 2004. "High Inflation, Volatility and Total Factor Productivity," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 297, Econometric Society.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecm:latm04:297

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Brian Motley, 1994. "Growth and inflation: a cross-country study," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 94-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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    6. Robert J. Barro, 1991. "Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 106(2), pages 407-443.
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    8. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    9. Norman Loayza & Raimundo Soto, 2002. "The Sources of Economic Growth: An Overview," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series,in: Norman Loayza & Raimundo Soto & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series Editor) (ed.), Economic Growth: Sources, Trends, and Cycles, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 1, pages 001-040 Central Bank of Chile.
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    13. Ahn, Seung C. & Schmidt, Peter, 1995. "Efficient estimation of models for dynamic panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 5-27, July.
    14. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1973. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(3), pages 326-334, June.
    15. Frank Windmeijer, 2000. "A finite sample correction for the variance of linear two-step GMM estimators," IFS Working Papers W00/19, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    16. Bruno, Michael & Easterly, William, 1998. "Inflation crises and long-run growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 3-26, February.
    17. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
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    More about this item


    Inflación; productividad total de los factores; datos de panel dinámico;

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling

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