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Preparing for a Pandemic: Accelerating Vaccine Availability

Author

Listed:
  • Ahuja, Amrita

    (Douglas B. Marshall Jr. Family Foundation)

  • Athey, Susan

    (Stanford Graduate School of Business)

  • Baker, Arthur

    (University of Chicago Development Innovation Lab)

  • Budish, Eric

    (University of Chicago Booth School of Business)

  • Camilo Castillo, Juan

    (University of Pennsylvania)

  • Glennerster, Rachel

    (FCDO, UK)

  • Kominers, Scott Duke

    (Harvard Business School)

  • Kremer, Michael

    (University of Chicago)

  • Lee, Jean

    (World Bank)

  • Prendergast, Canice

    (Chicago Booth School)

  • Snyder, Christopher M.

    (Dartmouth College)

  • Tabarrok, Alex

    (George Mason University)

  • Tan, Brandon Joel

    (Harvard University)

  • Wiecek, Witold

    (WAW Statistical Consulting)

Abstract

Vaccinating the world’s population quickly in a pandemic has enormous health and economic benefits. We analyze the problem faced by governments in determining the scale and structure of procurement for vaccines. We analyze alternative approaches to procurement, arguing that buyers should directly fund manufacturing capacity and shoulder most of the risk of failure, while maintaining some direct incentives for speed. We analyzed the optimal portfolio of vaccine investments for countries with different characteristics as well as the implications for international cooperation. Our analysis, considered in light of the experience of 2020, suggests lessons for future pandemics.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahuja, Amrita & Athey, Susan & Baker, Arthur & Budish, Eric & Camilo Castillo, Juan & Glennerster, Rachel & Kominers, Scott Duke & Kremer, Michael & Lee, Jean & Prendergast, Canice & Snyder, Christoph, 2021. "Preparing for a Pandemic: Accelerating Vaccine Availability," Research Papers 3966, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecl:stabus:3966
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    File URL: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/working-papers/preparing-pandemic-accelerating-vaccine-availability
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Snyder, Christopher M. & Hoyt, Kendall & Gouglas, Dimitrios, 2023. "An optimal mechanism to fund the development of vaccines against emerging epidemics," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Chiappinelli, Olga & Giuffrida, Leonardo M. & Spagnolo, Giancarlo, 2025. "Public procurement as an innovation policy: Where do we stand?," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    3. Veronika Grimm & Franziska K. Lembcke & Milena Schwarz, 2021. "Impffortschritt in Deutschland und der Welt: Chancen und Risiken [Opportunities and Risks of Vaccination Progress]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(4), pages 266-275, April.
    4. Ockenfels Axel, 2021. "Marktdesign für eine resiliente Impfstoff-produktion," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 22(3), pages 259-269, September.
    5. Agarwal, Ruchir & Gaule, Patrick, 2022. "What drives innovation? Lessons from COVID-19 R&D," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Scott Duke Kominers & Alex Tabarrok, 2022. "Vaccines and the Covid-19 pandemic: lessons from failure and success," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 38(4), pages 719-741.
    7. Nikhil Agarwal & Andrew Komo & Chetan A. Patel & Parag A. Pathak & M. Utku Ünver, 2021. "The Trade-off Between Prioritization and Vaccination Speed Depends on Mitigation Measures," NBER Working Papers 28519, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Evenett,Simon J. & Hoekman,Bernard M. & Rocha,Nadia & Ruta,Michele, 2021. "The Covid-19 Vaccine Production Club : Will Value Chains Temper Nationalism?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9565, The World Bank.
    9. Kyle, Margaret K., 2022. "Incentives for pharmaceutical innovation: What’s working, what’s lacking," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I11 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Analysis of Health Care Markets
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • L65 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Chemicals; Rubber; Drugs; Biotechnology; Plastics
    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health

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