IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecb/ecbsps/202550.html

Filling the gap: the geographical allocation of euro area portfolio investment liabilities and related income

Author

Listed:
  • Bosetti, Isabella
  • Incardona, Rocco
  • Caloca, Antonio Rodríguez

Abstract

This paper presents the estimation method used to break down the euro area portfolio investment liabilities in the international investment position (i.i.p.) and their corresponding income debits in the balance of payments (b.o.p.), by main geographical counterpart. Identifying non-resident investors in euro area portfolio investment liabilities (i.e. equity and debt securities issued by euro area residents) is a complex task, as securities are regularly traded in secondary markets and held via custodians and other financial intermediaries. Consequently, identifying the actual holders of euro area securities may be hampered by so-called “first-known counterparty” and/or “custodial” biases if statisticians cannot look through the chain of intermediaries. Owing to these difficulties, the geographical counterpart allocation of euro area portfolio investment liabilities cannot generally be directly collected from reporting agents (i.e. the issuers of euro area securities) but instead needs to be estimated. The estimation method presented in this document relies on a comprehensive set of so-called “mirror” datasets (i.e. information on the holders of euro area securities) supported by temporal disaggregation and econometric techniques. The results provide robust estimates of portfolio investment liabilities and income debits by geographical counterpart. JEL Classification: C22, C82

Suggested Citation

  • Bosetti, Isabella & Incardona, Rocco & Caloca, Antonio Rodríguez, 2025. "Filling the gap: the geographical allocation of euro area portfolio investment liabilities and related income," Statistics Paper Series 50, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbsps:202550
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpsps/ecb.sps50~2f6313654a.en.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francis E. Warnock & Chad Cleaver, 2003. "Financial Centres and the Geography of Capital Flows," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(1), pages 27-59, March.
    2. Philip R. Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2011. "Cross-Border Investment in Small International Financial Centres," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 301-330, June.
    3. Diana Chan & Florence Fontan & Simonetta Rosati & Daniela Russo, 2007. "The securities custody industry," Occasional Paper Series 68, European Central Bank.
    4. Hobza, Alexandr & Zeugner, Stefan, 2014. "Current accounts and financial flows in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 291-313.
    5. Sax, Christoph & Steiner, Peter, 2013. "Temporal Disaggregation of Time Series," MPRA Paper 53389, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Litterman, Robert B, 1983. "A Random Walk, Markov Model for the Distribution of Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(2), pages 169-173, April.
    7. Russo, Daniela & Rosati, Simonetta & Chan, Diana & Fontan, Florence, 2007. "The securities custody industry," Occasional Paper Series 68, European Central Bank.
    8. Fernandez, Roque B, 1981. "A Methodological Note on the Estimation of Time Series," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 63(3), pages 471-476, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kyosuke Chikamatsu, Naohisa Hirakata, Yosuke Kido, Kazuki Otaka, 2018. "Nowcasting Japanese GDPs," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-18, Bank of Japan.
    2. Enrique M. Quilis, 2018. "Temporal disaggregation of economic time series: The view from the trenches," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 72(4), pages 447-470, November.
    3. Bu Hyoung Lee, 2022. "Bootstrap Prediction Intervals of Temporal Disaggregation," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, February.
    4. Kim Abildgren, 2016. "A century of macro-financial linkages," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 8(4), pages 458-471, November.
    5. Pieroni, Luca & d'Agostino, Giorgio & Lorusso, Marco, 2008. "Can we declare military Keynesianism dead?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 675-691.
    6. Mr. Marco Marini, 2016. "Nowcasting Annual National Accounts with Quarterly Indicators: An Assessment of Widely Used Benchmarking Methods," IMF Working Papers 2016/071, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Jürgen Bierbaumer & Sandra Bilek-Steindl, 2017. "Quarterly National Accounts – Manual for Austria. Description of Applied Methods and Data Sources," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 60427.
    8. Huang, Yu-Lieh, 2012. "Measuring business cycles: A temporal disaggregation model with regime switching," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 283-290.
    9. David Aristei & Luca Pieroni, 2005. "Estimating the Role of Government Expenditure in Long-run Consumption," Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica 13/2005, Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia.
    10. Luke Mosley & Idris A. Eckley & Alex Gibberd, 2022. "Sparse temporal disaggregation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 2203-2233, October.
    11. Simeon Vosen & Torsten Schmidt, 2012. "A monthly consumption indicator for Germany based on Internet search query data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 683-687, May.
    12. Thimann, Christian & Skala, Martin & Wölfinger, Regine, 2007. "The search for Columbus' egg: finding a new formula to determine quotas at the IMF," Occasional Paper Series 70, European Central Bank.
    13. Thomas Raffinot, 2007. "A monthly indicator of GDP for Euro-Area based on business surveys," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 267-270.
    14. Tommaso Proietti, 2006. "Temporal disaggregation by state space methods: Dynamic regression methods revisited," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 9(3), pages 357-372, November.
    15. Edvinsson, Rodney & Hegelund, Erik, 2016. "The business cycle in historical perspective: Reconstructing quarterly data on Swedish GDP 1913-2014," Stockholm Papers in Economic History 18, Stockholm University, Department of Economic History.
    16. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013. "On the Stratonovich – Kalman - Bucy filtering algorithm application for accurate characterization of financial time series with use of state-space model by central banks," MPRA Paper 50235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7007, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    18. Cuevas Rumín, Ángel & Quilis, Enrique M. & Espasa, Antoni, 2011. "Combining benchmarking and chain-linking for short-term regional forecasting," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws114130, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    19. Marcus Scheiblecker & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Michael Wüger, 2007. "Quarterly National Accounts Inventory of Austria. Description of Applied Methods and Data Sources," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 37249.
    20. Hall, Viv & John, McDermott, "undated". "A Quarterly Post-World War II Real GDP Series for New Zealand," Motu Working Papers 292854, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbsps:202550. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Official Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emieude.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.