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Debt refinancing and credit risk

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  • Forte, Santiago

Abstract

Many firms choose to refinance their debt. We investigate the long run effects of this extended practice on credit ratings and credit spreads. We find that debt refinancing generates systematic rating downgrades unless a minimum firm value growth is observed. Deviations from this growth path imply asymmetric results: A lower value growth generates downgrades and a higher value growth upgrades as expected. However, downgrades will tend to be higher in absolute terms. On the other hand, credit spreads will be independent of the risk free interest rate in the short run, but positively correlated with this rate in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Forte, Santiago, 2003. "Debt refinancing and credit risk," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB wb031704, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
    • Handle: RePEc:cte:wbrepe:wb031704
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chirkova, Elena (Чиркова, Елена) & Valieva, Dinara (Валиева, Динара) & Menshikov, Yuri (Меньшиков, Юрий) & Nosova, Alexandra (Носова, Александра), 2017. "Debt Restructuring of the Russian Metallurgical Companies Caused by the Crisis of 2008 [Реструктуризации Долга Российскими Металлургическими Компаниями В Кризис 2008 Года]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 3, pages 174-209, June.
    2. Mario Gomes Augusto & Antonio Pedro Soares Pinto, 2015. "Banking Relationships, Managerial Ownership and Operational Performance: A Simultaneous Equations Approach in the Context of SMEs," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(1), pages 22-42, January.
    3. Maria Carmen Badia Batlle & M. Mercedes Galisteo Rodriguez & M. Teresa Preixens Benedicto, 2006. "Un modelo de riesgo de credito basado en opciones compuestas con barrera. Aplicacion al mercado continuo espanol," Working Papers in Economics 156, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia.

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