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Estimates of the Elasticity of Substitution Between Imported and Domestically Produced Commodities at the Four Digit ASIC Level

Author

Listed:
  • Chris M. Alaouze
  • John S. Marsden
  • John Zeitsch

Abstract

This paper contains estimates made in 1977 of the elasticity of substitution between domestically produced and imported commodities at the four digit level of the Australian ASIC commodity classification then in use. The data upon which the estimates were based included series specially constructed for the Industries Assistance Commission from customs clearance records covering the period 1968-69 through 1974-75. Because this period contained a substantial movement in the real exchange rate for the Australian dollar, relatively large movements occur in the relative prices in Australia of the domestically produced and the competing imported commodities. Thus the sample period and data augured well for the estimation of Armington substitution elasticities, which was relatively successful. Note, however, that the data were not rich enough to obtain separate estimates for different sources of imports, nor for different intermediate and final uses of the commodities. The estimates served well, however, in the implementation of the ORANI model used in debate and policy formation in Australia during the 1980s. The four-digit ASIC data base used in this study was published in 1985 as Chris M. Alaouze (1985), "The Impact Trade Flow Data Base", Impact Project Working Paper No. I-24, Melbourne. This paper will be available on this web site in the reasonably near future. This data base also includes pressure of demand series for eight industry groups. These were included as regressors and found significant in the equations used to estimate the Armington elasticities for several commodities. (This abstract written in 2004 by Chris Alaouze and Alan Powell)

Suggested Citation

  • Chris M. Alaouze & John S. Marsden & John Zeitsch, 1977. "Estimates of the Elasticity of Substitution Between Imported and Domestically Produced Commodities at the Four Digit ASIC Level," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers o-11, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
  • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:o-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Powell, Alan A. & Gruen, Fred H.G., 1967. "The Estimation Of Production Frontiers: The Australian Livestock/Cereals Complex," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 11(01), June.
    2. Gregory, R G, 1971. "United States Imports and Internal Pressure of Demand: 1948-68," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 28-47, March.
    3. Chris M. Alaouze, 1976. "Estimation of the elasticity of substitution between imported and domestically produced intermediate inputs," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers op-07, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    4. Wallis, Kenneth F, 1972. "Testing for Fourth Order Autocorrelation in Qtrly Regression Equations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(4), pages 617-636, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kapuscinski, Cezary A. & Warr, Peter G., 1999. "Estimation of Armington elasticities: an application to the Philippines," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 257-278, April.
    2. Alan A. Powell, 1997. "How Does the Share of Imports Change During Structural Adjustment?," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers op-86, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    3. Hertel, Thomas & Hummels, David & Ivanic, Maros & Keeney, Roman, 2007. "How confident can we be of CGE-based assessments of Free Trade Agreements?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 611-635, July.
    4. Cassoni, Adriana & Flores, Manuel, 2008. "Methodological shortcomings in estimating Armington elasticities," MPRA Paper 34544, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
    5. Hillberry, Russell & Hummels, David, 2013. "Trade Elasticity Parameters for a Computable General Equilibrium Model," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, Elsevier.
    6. Chris M. Alaouze, 1977. "Estimates of the elasticity of substitution between imported and domestically produced goods classified at the input-output level of aggregation," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers o-13, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    7. Flavio M. Menezes & Marcin Pracz & Rod Tyers, 2007. "Strategic Interaction amongst Australia's East Coast Ports," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 40(3), pages 267-278, September.
    8. Dixon, Peter B. & Koopman, Robert B. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2013. "The MONASH Style of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling: A Framework for Practical Policy Analysis," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, Elsevier.
    9. Morey, Mitchell, 2016. "Preferences and the home bias in trade," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 24-37.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis

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