IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000566/021125.html

Oil Price Volatility and Latin American Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Giraldo

    (Latin American Reserve Fund)

  • Iader Giraldo

    (Latin American Reserve Fund)

  • Philip Turner

    (University of Basel)

Abstract

Understanding the intricate relationship between oil price volatility and economic growth is essential for policymakers and investors seeking to develop effective policies to promote sustainable development and reduce vulnerabilities in the Latin American region. Our aim of this research paper was to analyze this relationship by accounting for the unique characteristics of the region, including both oil-producing countries and net oil importers, and comparing it with other regions worldwide. Our results revealed that the surge in oil prices following the pandemic has directly impacted the economic growth of Latin America. However, the economic growth of advanced economies has a more significant influence on Latin America's growth compared to that of other regions. Furthermore, we examined the potential implications of oil price volatility for inflation levels within countries, and we analyze the relationship between oil prices and the profitability of oil-producing firms based on microeconomic data, which elucidates the overall impact of oil price volatility on the region's economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo & Philip Turner, 2024. "Oil Price Volatility and Latin American Growth," Documentos de trabajo 21125, FLAR.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000566:021125
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://flar.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Paper_Oil-Price-Volatility-and-Latin-American-Growth.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki de Mattos, 2022. "Oil price shocks, exchange rate and uncertainty: case of Latin American economies," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 880-886, June.
    2. Sha, Zhiping, 2022. "Total natural resources, oil prices, and sustainable economic performance: Evidence from global data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Raheem, Ibrahim & Olabisi, Nafisat, 2019. "What is new? The role of asymmetry and breaks in oil price–output growth volatility nexus," MPRA Paper 105361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Naoyuki Yoshino & Majid Mohammadi Hossein Abadi & Rosa Farboudmanesh, 2016. "Response of macro variables of emerging and developed oil importers to oil price movements," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 91-102, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Çağlar Orak & Musa Bayır & Ahmed Yusuf Sarıhan, 2026. "Asymmetric Examination of Exchange Rate Dynamics: Are There Any Divergent Effects on Agricultural Growth," SAGE Open, , vol. 16(2), pages 21582440261, June.
    2. Yoshino, Naoyuki & Taghizadeh–Hesary, Farhad & Nakahigashi, Masaki, 2019. "Modelling the social funding and spill-over tax for addressing the green energy financing gap," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 34-41.
    3. Hong Thai Le & Marta Disegna, 2018. "Responses of macroeconomy and stock markets to structural oil price shocks: New evidence from Asian oil refinery," BAFES Working Papers BAFES25, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
    4. Victoriia Alekhina & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2018. "Impact of World Oil Prices on an Energy Exporting Economy Including Monetary Policy," ADBI Working Papers 828, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    5. Yonghong Jiang & Gengyu Tian & Bin Mo, 2020. "Spillover and quantile linkage between oil price shocks and stock returns: new evidence from G7 countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-26, December.
    6. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2019. "Energy and Food Security: Linkages through Price Volatility," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 796-806.
    7. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Chang, Youngho, 2019. "Trade linkages and transmission of oil price fluctuations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Jeffrey D. Sachs & Wing Thye Woo & Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2019. "Why is Green Finance Important ?," Working Papers id:12983, eSocialSciences.
    9. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Nour Tawk, 2017. "Decline of oil prices and the negative interest rate policy in Japan," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 233-250, April.
    10. Shi, Junguo & Liu, Yang & Sadowski, Bert M. & Alemzero, David & Dou, Shanshan & Sun, Huaping & Naseem, Sobia, 2023. "The role of economic growth and governance on mineral rents in main critical minerals countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Inagaki, Yugo & Morgan, Peter J., 2021. "Analyzing the factors influencing the demand and supply of solar modules in Japan – Does financing matter," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-12.
    12. Li, Zepei & Huang, Haizhen, 2023. "Challenges for volatility forecasts of US fossil energy spot markets during the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 31-45.
    13. Hyunjoo Kim Karlsson & Kristofer MÃ¥nsson, 2024. "Revisiting the Nexus Between Oil Prices and Economic Activity for Asian Economies Using MIDAS," The Energy Journal, , vol. 45(4), pages 109-134, July.
    14. Mahmood Ahmad & Zahoor Ahmed & Chunyang Luo, 2024. "Natural resources, economic globalization, and sustainable development: Can economic complexity and environmental regulations cure the resource curse?," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(4), pages 1417-1435, November.
    15. Rodríguez, Gabriel & Castillo B., Paul & Guevara Ruiz, Brenda & Yamuca Salvatierra, Leonela, 2025. "Time-varying transmission of external shocks in Peru: Reassessing the role of monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    16. Ahmad, Mahmood & Peng, Tao & Awan, Ashar & Ahmed, Zahoor, 2023. "Policy framework considering resource curse, renewable energy transition, and institutional issues: Fostering sustainable development and sustainable natural resource consumption practices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    17. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Hiroaki Miyamoto, 2017. "The Ineffectiveness of Japan’s Negative Interest Rate Policy," ADB Institute Series on Development Economics, in: Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary (ed.), Japan’s Lost Decade, chapter 0, pages 147-168, Springer.
    18. OSMANI, Md Ataul Gani & PANAIT, Mirela & APOSTU, Simona Andreea & JANJUA, Laeeq Razzak, 2022. "Are There Any Asymmetric Responses Of Oil Price Shocks To Gdp Growth? A Review Of Literature," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 10(1), pages 276-283, October.
    19. Kai-Hua Wang & Li-Li Liu & Hong-Wen Liu & Zheng-Zheng Li, 2026. "Oil price, climate policy uncertainty, sustainable development, US dollar in an era of global conflict: Based on dynamic time-frequency spillover analysis," Energy & Environment, , vol. 37(4), pages 2207-2232, June.
    20. Nazmus Sadat Khan, 2020. "Spillover Effects of Trade Shocks in the Central and Eastern European and Baltic Countries," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 35(1), pages 39-68.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • N16 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000566:021125. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Fondo Latino Americano de Reservas (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://flar.com/publicaciones/#trabajo .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.